Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iliria Kruja vs Kucove - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

First Division 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iliria Kruja in this First Division 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iliria Kruja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Iliria Kruja
30%
Draws
0%
Kucove
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Iliria Kruja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Kucove haven't matched Iliria Kruja's recent run of results.
  • Iliria Kruja are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Iliria Kruja Clean Sheet 20%
Kucove Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iliria Kruja Kucove
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 12 5
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.12 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.12 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2018 Kategoria e Parë
Kucove vs Iliria Kruja
2:1
Mar 17, 2018 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Kucove
0:0
Feb 10, 2018 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Kucove
4:0
Oct 27, 2017 Kategoria e Parë
Kucove vs Iliria Kruja
1:0
Mar 9, 2013 Kategoria e Parë
Kucove vs Iliria Kruja
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iliria Kruja 85 / 100
Kucove 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iliria Kruja Kucove

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iliria Kruja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kucove has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Iliria Kruja stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Kucove lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Iliria Kruja's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Iliria Kruja VS Kucove
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 4
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Iliria Kruja

(Home)
07 Oct
Iliria Kruja
4 : 3
Koplik
20 Sept
Iliria Kruja
1 : 1
Bylis
16 Sept
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 1
Iliria Kruja
12 Sept
Iliria Kruja
3 : 1
Kukesi
05 Sept
Iliria Kruja
0 : 0
Pogradeci
Page 1 of 7

Kucove

(Away)
06 Oct
Skenderbeu Korca
4 : 1
Kucove
15 Oct
Flamurtari
5 : 0
Kucove
16 Oct
Erzeni Shijak
1 : 0
Kucove
18 Oct
Apolonia Fier
4 : 0
Kucove
26 Sept
Laci
9 : 0
Kucove
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kastrioti 18 14 2 2 24:7 44
2 KF Egnatia 18 8 5 5 18:11 29
3 Erzeni Shijak 18 7 5 6 22:20 26
4 Beselidhja Lezha 18 7 3 8 19:16 24
5 Dinamo City 18 6 6 6 10:12 24
6 Korabi Peshkopi 18 6 5 7 18:20 23
7 Besa Kavaje 18 6 3 9 15:21 21
8 Terbuni Puka 18 5 5 8 16:23 20
9 Burreli 18 5 4 9 12:18 19
10 Vllaznia 2 18 5 4 9 10:16 19
Promotion - First Division 2017/2018 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - First Division 2017/2018 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KF Tirana 18 14 3 1 46:6 45
2 Bylis 18 12 5 1 34:13 41
3 Apolonia Fier 18 9 4 5 31:19 31
4 Pogradeci 18 8 3 7 23:24 27
5 Tomori Berat 18 8 2 8 23:20 26
6 Iliria Kruja 18 8 1 9 19:21 25
7 Shenkolli 18 7 2 9 21:31 23
8 Turbina Cerrik 18 4 3 11 19:33 15
9 Shkumbini Peqin 18 4 3 11 9:29 15
10 Kucove 18 2 2 14 13:42 8
Promotion - First Division 2017/2018 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - First Division 2017/2018 (Relegation Group)