Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ilirija vs Bistrica

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Bukovec A.
Own Goal
48' Event
Mesko Z.
67' Event
Urrutia A.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between Ilirija and Bistrica finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ilirija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ilirija
33%
Draws
27%
Bistrica
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ilirija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Ilirija haven't matched Bistrica's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ilirija a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ilirija Clean Sheet 19%
Bistrica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilirija Bistrica
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Bistrica
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Ilirija
2:2
Mar 2, 2025 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Bistrica
0:0
Aug 17, 2024 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Ilirija
2:2
Mar 23, 2024 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Bistrica
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilirija Compare

Top Goalscorer Mesko Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Urrutia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bistrica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilirija 40 / 100
Bistrica 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilirija Bistrica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ILI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilirija scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Bistrica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Ilirija went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilirija VS Bistrica
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilirija

(Home)
22 May
Ilirija
1 : 3
Beltinci
15 May
ND Gorica
1 : 0
Ilirija
09 May
Ilirija
1 : 0
Bilje
06 May
Dravinja
2 : 1
Ilirija
30 Apr
Ilirija
0 : 2
Nafta
Page 1 of 6

Bistrica

(Away)
21 Jul
Zeljeznicar
1 : 1
Bistrica
18 Jul
ASK Voitsberg
5 : 4
Bistrica
14 Jul
Bistrica
0 : 4
FC Bihor
23 May
Bistrica
1 : 0
Slovan Ljubljana
16 May
Triglav
0 : 4
Bistrica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosuplje30236170:2675
2Nafta30236165:2375
3Triglav30204672:2864
4Beltinci30186655:2560
5Tabor Sezana301551037:3350
6Bistrica301361150:3645
7Dravinja301071332:4437
8Rudar309101146:3937
9Bilje30971427:4734
10Jadran Dekani30891340:4633
11Slovan Ljubljana30951632:5232
12NK Krka306111332:5129
13Ilirija30691538:5227
14Krsko Posavje30751824:6226
15ND Gorica304101631:4522
16Jesenice30462026:6818
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)