Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ilirija vs ND Gorica

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Rotar C.
69' Event
Rufati A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Ilirija
28%
Draws
50%
ND Gorica
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: ND Gorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Ilirija have won more games recently than ND Gorica.
  • Win probability leans ND Gorica's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular 2. SNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • ND Gorica have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Ilirija Clean Sheet 15%
ND Gorica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilirija ND Gorica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 9 10
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs Ilirija
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 2. SNL
Ilirija vs ND Gorica
1:1
May 7, 2025 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs Ilirija
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 2. SNL
Ilirija vs ND Gorica
1:3
Apr 7, 2024 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs Ilirija
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilirija Compare

Top Goalscorer Rotar C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

ND Gorica Compare

Top Goalscorer Rufati A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilirija 23 / 100
ND Gorica 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilirija ND Gorica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ilirija scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

ND Gorica has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Ilirija has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ilirija VS ND Gorica
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilirija

(Home)
22 May
Ilirija
1 : 3
Beltinci
15 May
ND Gorica
1 : 0
Ilirija
09 May
Ilirija
1 : 0
Bilje
06 May
Dravinja
2 : 1
Ilirija
30 Apr
Ilirija
0 : 2
Nafta
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ND Gorica

(Away)
23 May
Krsko Posavje
2 : 0
ND Gorica
15 May
ND Gorica
1 : 0
Ilirija
11 May
ND Gorica
1 : 1
Dravinja
06 May
NK Krka
1 : 4
ND Gorica
02 May
ND Gorica
2 : 3
Rudar
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosuplje30236170:2675
2Nafta30236165:2375
3Triglav30204672:2864
4Beltinci30186655:2560
5Tabor Sezana301551037:3350
6Bistrica301361150:3645
7Dravinja301071332:4437
8Rudar309101146:3937
9Bilje30971427:4734
10Jadran Dekani30891340:4633
11Slovan Ljubljana30951632:5232
12NK Krka306111332:5129
13Ilirija30691538:5227
14Krsko Posavje30751824:6226
15ND Gorica304101631:4522
16Jesenice30462026:6818
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)