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Ilkeston vs Avro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ilkeston host Avro in the NPL Premier Division. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Ilkeston have averaged 0.96 scored and 1.89 conceded recently, against Avro's 1.96 scored and 1.43 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 2.81) point toward Avro. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ilkeston
15%
Draws
85%
Avro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Avro come out ahead of Ilkeston on wins alone.
  • Model gives Avro a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ilkeston Clean Sheet 10%
Avro Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilkeston Avro
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 15
Draws 4 2
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.96 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilkeston 10 / 100
Avro 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilkeston Avro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilkeston's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Avro has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Avro's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ilkeston VS Avro
0.5 Goals Scored 2.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilkeston

(Home)
10 Oct
Ilkeston
0 : 5
Redcar Athletic
06 Oct
Ilkeston
0 : 2
Guiseley
03 Oct
Lancaster
2 : 1
Ilkeston
29 Sept
Ilkeston
0 : 1
Warrington Rylands
26 Sept
Ilkeston
1 : 3
Anstey Nomads
Page 1 of 6

Avro

(Away)
10 Oct
Avro
0 : 1
Guiseley
07 Oct
Avro
5 : 3
Lancaster
26 Sept
Dunston
0 : 2
Avro
12 Sept
Gainsborough
0 : 2
Avro
05 Sept
Avro
0 : 2
Witton Albion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 13 9 3 1 30:7 30
2 Redcar Athletic 13 8 4 1 28:11 28
3 Guiseley 12 8 1 3 25:11 25
4 Avro 11 8 1 2 33:20 25
5 Curzon Ashton 11 7 1 3 23:11 22
6 Workington 13 6 3 4 23:22 21
7 Warrington Rylands 13 6 2 5 20:20 20
8 Bury FC 11 6 1 4 22:11 19
9 Gainsborough 11 6 1 4 22:15 19
10 Warrington Town 11 5 4 2 22:18 19
11 Alfreton 13 6 0 7 20:16 18
12 Lancaster 13 5 2 6 18:26 17
13 Hyde 13 4 2 7 13:23 14
14 Ashton United 11 3 4 4 14:13 13
15 Quorn 12 3 4 5 21:27 13
16 Whitby 12 4 1 7 17:32 13
17 Stockton 13 3 3 7 17:24 12
18 Leek Town 12 2 5 5 24:25 11
19 AFC Emley 12 2 4 6 11:24 10
20 Bamber Bridge 12 2 4 6 16:31 10
21 Ilkeston 13 2 1 10 7:31 7
22 United of Manchester 11 1 3 7 14:22 6
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