Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Walker J.
46'
46'
Gibson M.
66'
66'
Stobbs J.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division 2024/2025 game between Ilkeston and Matlock finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ilkeston
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Ilkeston carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Ilkeston's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular NPL Premier Division 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ilkeston Clean Sheet 20%
Matlock Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ilkeston | Matlock |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 21, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Matlock
1:1
Dec 26, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Matlock vs Ilkeston
4:0
Apr 1, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Matlock vs Ilkeston
1:2
Dec 26, 2023 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Matlock
0:1
Sep 3, 2022 FA Cup
Matlock vs Ilkeston
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ilkeston Compare
Top Goalscorer Walker J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Matlock Compare
Top Goalscorer Gibson M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ilkeston 67 / 100
Matlock 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ilkeston Matlock
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ILK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Matlock has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Ilkeston has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Matlock lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ilkeston VS Matlock
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ilkeston
(Home) 11 Jul
Worksop
3 : 1 Ilkeston
25 Apr
Ilkeston
3 : 2 United of Manchester
18 Apr
Stocksbridge
0 : 0 Ilkeston
11 Apr
Ilkeston
2 : 0 Bamber Bridge
06 Apr
Rushall
2 : 0 Ilkeston
Page 1 of 7
25 Apr
Ilkeston
3 : 2 United of Manchester
11 Apr
Ilkeston
2 : 0 Bamber Bridge
04 Apr
Ilkeston
1 : 1 Warrington Town
14 Mar
Ilkeston
0 : 1 Stockton
28 Feb
Ilkeston
3 : 2 Hebburn Town
Page 1 of 4
Matlock
(Away) 18 Jul
Matlock
1 : 1 Rotherham
14 Jul
Matlock
1 : 3 Quorn
04 Jul
Matlock
0 : 2 Barnsley
27 Sept
Hyde
1 : 0 Matlock
20 Sept
Matlock
1 : 2 Basford Utd.
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Hyde
1 : 0 Matlock
26 Jul
Belper Town
1 : 4 Matlock
19 Jul
Basford Utd.
4 : 3 Matlock
21 Apr
Ilkeston
1 : 1 Matlock
12 Apr
Hyde
0 : 4 Matlock
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macclesfield | 42 | 35 | 4 | 3 | 109:30 | 109 |
| 2 | Worksop | 42 | 26 | 5 | 11 | 96:51 | 83 |
| 3 | Stockton | 42 | 23 | 6 | 13 | 66:47 | 75 |
| 4 | Guiseley | 42 | 20 | 14 | 8 | 67:45 | 74 |
| 5 | Ashton United | 42 | 20 | 9 | 13 | 72:58 | 69 |
| 6 | Ilkeston | 42 | 18 | 12 | 12 | 69:56 | 66 |
| 7 | Gainsborough | 42 | 18 | 10 | 14 | 58:53 | 64 |
| 8 | Morpeth | 42 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 57:61 | 62 |
| 9 | Hyde | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 59:63 | 57 |
| 10 | Prescot Cables | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 49:54 | 57 |
| 11 | Warrington Rylands | 42 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 60:53 | 56 |
| 12 | Workington | 42 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 61:65 | 52 |
| 13 | Bamber Bridge | 42 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 65:70 | 52 |
| 14 | Hebburn Town | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 60:65 | 52 |
| 15 | Leek Town | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 47:55 | 52 |
| 16 | Whitby | 42 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 55:71 | 52 |
| 17 | United of Manchester | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 55:62 | 51 |
| 18 | Lancaster | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 52:63 | 51 |
| 19 | Matlock | 42 | 10 | 15 | 17 | 59:69 | 42 |
| 20 | Mickleover | 42 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 41:75 | 39 |
| 21 | Basford Utd. | 42 | 10 | 7 | 25 | 50:79 | 37 |
| 22 | Blyth Spartans | 42 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 38:100 | 18 |
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