Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Gerstmayer D.
58'
58'
Embaye N.
71'
71'
Milic D.
AI Match Summary
Illertissen in this Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Illertissen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bayern II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Illertissen have won more games recently than Bayern II.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Bayern II taking it.
- Regular Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Illertissen Clean Sheet 20%
Bayern II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Illertissen | Bayern II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Illertissen vs Bayern II
0:2
Apr 30, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Illertissen vs Bayern II
4:0
Oct 25, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Bayern II vs Illertissen
3:4
May 3, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Illertissen vs Bayern II
2:2
Oct 18, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Bayern II vs Illertissen
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Illertissen Compare
Top Goalscorer Gerstmayer D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Embaye N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Bayern II Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Illertissen 20 / 100
Bayern II 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Illertissen Bayern II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bayern II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.
Illertissen scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Bayern II let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Illertissen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Illertissen VS Bayern II
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Illertissen
(Home) 26 Sept
Vilzing
3 : 3 Illertissen
19 Sept
Illertissen
0 : 2 Memmingen
15 Sept
1. FC Schweinfurt
0 : 3 Illertissen
11 Sept
Illertissen
2 : 1 Nurnberg II
04 Sept
Eltersdorf
3 : 0 Illertissen
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Illertissen
0 : 2 Memmingen
11 Sept
Illertissen
2 : 1 Nurnberg II
29 Aug
Illertissen
0 : 2 Bayern II
14 Aug
Illertissen
3 : 0 Unterhaching
31 Jul
Illertissen
2 : 0 TSV Schwaben Augsburg
Page 1 of 3
Bayern II
(Away) 25 Sept
Bayern II
4 : 3 TSV Schwaben Augsburg
18 Sept
TSV Aubstadt
0 : 2 Bayern II
15 Sept
Bayern II
0 : 0 Augsburg II
11 Sept
Buchbach
2 : 0 Bayern II
04 Sept
Bayern II
3 : 0 Vfb Eichstatt
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
TSV Aubstadt
0 : 2 Bayern II
11 Sept
Buchbach
2 : 0 Bayern II
29 Aug
Illertissen
0 : 2 Bayern II
31 Jul
Burghausen
2 : 0 Bayern II
19 Jul
Ulm
3 : 1 Bayern II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nurnberg II | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 68:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Wurzburger Kickers | 34 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 74:25 | 75 |
| 3 | Unterhaching | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 72:30 | 70 |
| 4 | Illertissen | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 72:46 | 64 |
| 5 | Vilzing | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 49:44 | 51 |
| 6 | TSV Aubstadt | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 49:45 | 49 |
| 7 | Vfb Eichstatt | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 48:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Burghausen | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 46:50 | 47 |
| 9 | Ansbach | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54:65 | 46 |
| 10 | Buchbach | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54:69 | 46 |
| 11 | Bayern II | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 61:52 | 45 |
| 12 | Memmingen | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Bayreuth | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 36:53 | 38 |
| 14 | Augsburg II | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:48 | 34 |
| 15 | TSV Schwaben Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 39:60 | 34 |
| 16 | Furth II | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 47:60 | 28 |
| 17 | Aschaffenburg | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 31:71 | 26 |
| 18 | Hankofen-Hailing | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:74 | 23 |
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)
