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Illertissen vs TSV Aubstadt

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Glessing Y.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 game between Illertissen and TSV Aubstadt finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Illertissen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Illertissen
6%
Draws
4%
TSV Aubstadt
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Illertissen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Illertissen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Illertissen a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Illertissen have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Illertissen Clean Sheet 20%
TSV Aubstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Illertissen TSV Aubstadt
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 18 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 3.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Illertissen vs TSV Aubstadt
1:0
Sep 23, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Aubstadt vs Illertissen
3:5
Nov 16, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Aubstadt vs Illertissen
1:3
Aug 2, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Illertissen vs TSV Aubstadt
3:1
Apr 20, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Aubstadt vs Illertissen
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Illertissen Compare

Top Goalscorer Glessing Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

TSV Aubstadt Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Illertissen 85 / 100
TSV Aubstadt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Illertissen TSV Aubstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ILL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Illertissen scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

TSV Aubstadt has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Solid form: Illertissen remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Illertissen VS TSV Aubstadt
3.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Illertissen

(Home)
24 Jul
Vfb Eichstatt
0 : 3
Illertissen
12 Jul
Illertissen
6 : 1
Young Boys Reutlingen
11 Jul
Landsberg
3 : 2
Illertissen
04 Jul
Kempten
0 : 5
Illertissen
27 Jun
Illertissen
2 : 1
Nordlingen
Page 1 of 6

TSV Aubstadt

(Away)
23 Jul
TSV Aubstadt
5 : 1
1. FC Schweinfurt
11 Jul
TSV Aubstadt
3 : 0
Fulda-Lehnerz
04 Jul
FSV Frankfurt
5 : 0
TSV Aubstadt
20 Jun
TSV Aubstadt
1 : 1
Wurzburger FV
16 May
TSV Aubstadt
4 : 0
Bayreuth
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nurnberg II34245568:3577
2Wurzburger Kickers34229374:2575
3Unterhaching34224872:3070
4Illertissen34197872:4664
5Vilzing341561349:4451
6TSV Aubstadt3413101149:4549
7Vfb Eichstatt3412121048:3748
8Burghausen341381346:5047
9Ansbach341371454:6546
10Buchbach341371454:6946
11Bayern II341461461:5245
12Memmingen3410121243:4742
13Bayreuth349111436:5338
14Augsburg II34971837:4834
15TSV Schwaben Augsburg34971839:6034
16Furth II346101847:6028
17Aschaffenburg34682031:7126
18Hankofen-Hailing34582131:7423
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)