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Illizi vs ESF Bir El Ater

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
40' Event
56' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Illizi advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Illizi
15%
Draws
42%
ESF Bir El Ater
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Illizi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • ESF Bir El Ater's 1 goals per match outpaces what Illizi have produced (0.67).
  • Win probability leans Illizi's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Illizi, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Illizi Clean Sheet 20%
ESF Bir El Ater Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Illizi ESF Bir El Ater
Matches Played 3 3
Wins 1 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 2
Goals Scored 0.67 1
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 30, 2017 Algeria Cup
Illizi vs ESF Bir El Ater
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Illizi 36 / 100
ESF Bir El Ater 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Illizi ESF Bir El Ater

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ESF Bir El Ater's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 3 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Illizi found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (3 games).

Solid form: Illizi remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Illizi VS ESF Bir El Ater
0.67 Goals Scored 1
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.33
67% Over 1.5 100%
33% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Illizi

(Home)
06 Dec
Ain Kercha
1 : 0
Illizi
12 Jan
CR Belouizdad
2 : 0
Illizi
30 Dec
Illizi
2 : 1
ESF Bir El Ater

ESF Bir El Ater

(Away)
13 Dec
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 0
ESF Bir El Ater
04 Dec
ESF Bir El Ater
2 : 0
Kadiria
30 Dec
Illizi
2 : 1
ESF Bir El Ater

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kabylie 1
ES Ben Aknoun 0
USMM Hadjout 1
RC Oued Rhiou 2
ES Besbes 2
Tadamoun Souf 1
NRC Boudjelbana 1
Dar El Beida 2
Tadjenant 3
CRB El Amria 0
RC Kouba 0
Saida 4
ASM Oran 2
SA Setif 0
CR Temouchent 0
USM Blida 1
MO Bejaia 3
Kolea 1
MB Berrahal 0
MB Hassasna 3
Telaghema 3
RC Relizane 2
Oued Sly 0
Oran 1
CR Belouizdad 3
Ghriss 0
ESF Bir El Ater 1
Illizi 2
Amal Bou Saada 1
Ain Sefra 0
Tlemcen 0
MC Alger 4
CR Zaouia 2
Ghozlane 1
Khenchela 0
Magra 1
Medea 2
Staoueli 0
WRO Mimoune 0
IRB Belkheir 2
El Bayadh 1
Annaba 0
Eulma 0
Paradou 3
Lakhdaria 1
AGS Belvedere 0
Bordj Bou Arreridj 0
Mlila 1
Saoura 2
Mohammadia SA 1
MB Hassi Messaoud 0
ES Setif 2
Constantine 2
Hussein Dey 1
ES Firem 0
USM Alger 1
Biskra 3
Skikda 0
Touggourt 0
Harrach 1
Kais 2
Village Moussa 1
Chelghoum 0
Bel Abbes 1
1/16-finals
Kabylie 2
RC Oued Rhiou 0
ES Besbes 0
Dar El Beida 1
Tadjenant 2
Saida 1
ASM Oran 0
USM Blida 2
MO Bejaia 2
MB Hassasna 1
Telaghema 0
Oran 1
CR Belouizdad 2
Illizi 0
Amal Bou Saada 0
MC Alger 1
CR Zaouia 1
Magra 0
Medea 0
IRB Belkheir 1
El Bayadh 2
Paradou 1
Lakhdaria 0
Mlila 1
Saoura 1
ES Setif 0
Constantine 0
USM Alger 1
Biskra 1
Harrach 0
Kais 0
Bel Abbes 2
1/8-finals
Kabylie 1
Dar El Beida 0
Tadjenant 0
USM Blida 5
MO Bejaia 1
Oran 0
CR Belouizdad 1
MC Alger 2
CR Zaouia 3
IRB Belkheir 0
El Bayadh 0
Mlila 1
Saoura 1
USM Alger 0
Biskra 1
Bel Abbes 2
Quarter-finals
Kabylie 2
USM Blida 1
MO Bejaia 0
MC Alger 2
CR Zaouia 2
Mlila 1
Saoura 1
Bel Abbes 2
Semi-finals
Kabylie 1
MC Alger 0
CR Zaouia 0
Bel Abbes 1
Final
Kabylie 1
Bel Abbes 2