Sport Picks

Europe

Conference League Tammelan Stadion

Ilves

3 - 1

Differdange

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Bamba G.

45'

Thill S.

Assist: Rivas E.

46'

Sub

Bamba G. In: Pettersson O.

Out: Bamba G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Conference League game between Ilves and Differdange finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ilves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Ilves

20%

Draws

38%

Differdange

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ilves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Differdange carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Ilves a 42% chance of winning this.
European nights carry their own weight — this Conference League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Ilves Clean Sheet 16%

Differdange Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ilves	Differdange
Matches Played	27	31
Wins	11	17
Draws	6	9
Losses	10	5
Goals Scored	2.38	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Conference League

Ilves vs Differdange

Possession: 48% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

3:1

Jul 8, 2026 Conference League

Differdange vs Ilves

Possession: 59% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilves Compare

Top Goalscorer Raap Y.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Riski Ro.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Differdange Compare

Top Goalscorer Thill S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves 41 / 100

Differdange 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ilves Differdange

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ilves scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Differdange conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ilves went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilves VS Differdange

2.38 Goals Scored 1.38

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals

Rijeka-

TBD-

Derry City-

Lugano-

TBD-

Dukagjini-

FCSB-

TBD-

FK Auda Riga-

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Valletta-

Debrecen-

TBD-

Marsaxlokk0

Pyunik Yerevan4

IFK Goteborg-

TBD-

Caernarfon0

Levadia10

Varazdin-

TBD-

Jablonec-

Bravo-

TBD-

Europa FC0

Shkendija Tetovo6

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Kalju3

Linfield2

Zimbru Chisinau-

TBD-

Noah-

Aluminij-

TBD-

Dinamo Tirana4

FC Astana2

AF Elbasani1

BATE2

TBD-

Sion-

Motherwell-

TBD-

HB Torshavn-

Vllaznia2

Malisheva6

TBD-

Hibernian-

Paks-

TBD-

Panathinaikos-

Vojvodina-

TBD-

Ajax-

LNZ Cherkasy-

TBD-

Gent-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

TBD-

Ludogorets-

Bohemians2

St Josephs0

Connahs Q.2

FC Ballkani3

Vaduz-

TBD-

Mornar Bar2

Atletic Escaldes4

NSI Runavik3

Hamrun2

TBD-

Koper-

Partizan-

TBD-

UNA Strassen3

La Fiorita0

Basaksehir-

TBD-

FK Sarajevo2

Inter Turku3

HJK-

TBD-

Coleraine-

Glentoran1

RFS4

TBD-

Vestri-

Decic1

FK Liepaja3

TBD-

Austria Vienna-

GAIS-

TBD-

Nordsjaelland-

Zilina-

TBD-

GKS Katowice-

Dila Gori3

Virtus2

TBD-

Apollon Limassol-

Universitatea Cluj-

TBD-

Brann-

Valur-

TBD-

Zrinjski-

Mondorf2

Dinamo Tbilisi3

Petrovac2

Zalgiris5

Dun. Streda-

TBD-

Velez Mostar2

Milsami1

Vikingur3

Stjarnan5

Differdange1

Ilves3

FK Panevezys-

TBD-

Tobol-

Neftci Baku-

TBD-

Din. Minsk2

Sileks1

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

TBD-

Braga-

Polissya Zhytomyr-

TBD-

FC Copenhagen-

Penybont0

FC Santa Coloma4

TBD-

Rapid Vienna-

Alashkert4

Yelimay Semey3

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

FC Hegelmann1

Paide Linnameeskond4

Zira FK6

Torpedo Kutaisi0

Spartak Trnava-

TBD-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

AEK Larnaca-

TBD-

Beitar Jerusalem-

Borac Banja Luka-

TBD-

Petrocub Hincesti-

Bissen-

TBD-

Gyor-

ML Vitebsk-

TBD-

Sutjeska-

Flora-

TBD-

TNS-

Floriana-

TBD-

Drita-

Vardar-

TBD-

Riga FC-

TBD-

Quarter-finals

Rijeka-

Derry City-

Lugano-

Dukagjini-

FCSB-

FK Auda Riga-

Rakow Czestochowa-

Valletta-

Debrecen-

Pyunik Yerevan-

IFK Goteborg-

Levadia-

Varazdin-

Jablonec-

Bravo-

Shkendija Tetovo-

Shelbourne-

Kalju-

Zimbru Chisinau-

Noah-

Aluminij-

Dinamo Tirana-

BATE-

Sion-

Motherwell-

HB Torshavn-

Malisheva-

Hibernian-

Paks-

Panathinaikos-

Vojvodina-

Ajax-

LNZ Cherkasy-

Gent-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

Ludogorets-

Bohemians-

FC Ballkani-

Vaduz-

Atletic Escaldes-

NSI Runavik-

Koper-

Partizan-

UNA Strassen-

Basaksehir-

Inter Turku-

HJK-

Coleraine-

RFS-

Vestri-

FK Liepaja-

Austria Vienna-

GAIS-

Nordsjaelland-

Zilina-

GKS Katowice-

Dila Gori-

Apollon Limassol-

Universitatea Cluj-

Brann-

Valur-

Zrinjski-

Dinamo Tbilisi-

Zalgiris-

Dun. Streda-

Velez Mostar-

Stjarnan-

Ilves-

FK Panevezys-

Tobol-

Neftci Baku-

Din. Minsk-

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

Braga-

Polissya Zhytomyr-

FC Copenhagen-

FC Santa Coloma-

Rapid Vienna-

Alashkert-

CFR Cluj-

Paide Linnameeskond-

Zira FK-

Spartak Trnava-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

AEK Larnaca-

Beitar Jerusalem-

Borac Banja Luka-

Petrocub Hincesti-

Bissen-

Gyor-

ML Vitebsk-

Sutjeska-

Flora-

TNS-

Floriana-

Drita-

Vardar-

Riga FC-

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-