Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ilves-Kissat vs Poxyt

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group B 2024 Tammelan Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Leivo J.
26'
Ogorodnikov V.
30' Event
Lyback K.

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group B 2024 game between Ilves-Kissat and Poxyt finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Poxyt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Ilves-Kissat
22%
Draws
60%
Poxyt
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Poxyt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Poxyt haven't matched Ilves-Kissat's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Poxyt taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • History favors Ilves-Kissat here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ilves-Kissat Clean Sheet 20%
Poxyt Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves-Kissat Poxyt
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 2 1
Losses 21 23
Goals Scored 1.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 3.5 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2024 Kakkonen Group B
Ilves-Kissat vs Poxyt
0:3
Jun 15, 2024 Kakkonen Group B
Poxyt vs Ilves-Kissat
2:4
Apr 20, 2024 Kakkonen Group B
Ilves-Kissat vs Poxyt
3:1
Jul 29, 2023 Kakkonen Group B
Poxyt vs Ilves-Kissat
2:4
May 12, 2023 Kakkonen Group B
Ilves-Kissat vs Poxyt
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilves-Kissat Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Poxyt Compare

Top Goalscorer Leivo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lyback K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves-Kissat 20 / 100
Poxyt 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves-Kissat Poxyt

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POX Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves-Kissat found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Poxyt let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: Poxyt registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilves-Kissat VS Poxyt
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
3.5 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%