Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Stjopin M.
4'
4'
Stjopin M.
Assist: Kanga J.
8'
8'
Wallius K.
Assist: Stjopin M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 5-2. The second leg ended 5-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lahti
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ilves's 1.72 goals per match outpaces what Lahti have produced (1.46).
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Ilves, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ilves Clean Sheet 20%
Lahti Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ilves | Lahti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs Lahti
1:0
Jun 10, 2026 Suomen Cup
Ilves vs Lahti
5:2
May 30, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Lahti vs Ilves
5:0
Jun 29, 2024 Veikkausliiga
Lahti vs Ilves
2:2
Apr 6, 2024 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs Lahti
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ilves Compare
Top Goalscorer Stjopin M.
3 Goals Assists Leader Wallius K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Lahti Compare
Top Goalscorer Andersson E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ilves 36 / 100
Lahti 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ilves Lahti
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lahti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ilves scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Lahti has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Ilves remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ilves VS Lahti
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.13
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ilves
(Home) 13 Aug
Ilves
1 : 1 Rijeka
09 Aug
Ilves
2 : 0 Mariehamn
06 Aug
Rijeka
1 : 0 Ilves
02 Aug
AC Oulu
1 : 0 Ilves
30 Jul
Ilves
3 : 1 Stjarnan
Page 1 of 6
13 Aug
Ilves
1 : 1 Rijeka
09 Aug
Ilves
2 : 0 Mariehamn
30 Jul
Ilves
3 : 1 Stjarnan
26 Jul
Ilves
1 : 0 Lahti
16 Jul
Ilves
3 : 1 Differdange
Page 1 of 3
Lahti
(Away) 09 Aug
Inter Turku
0 : 0 Lahti
01 Aug
Lahti
2 : 0 Jaro
26 Jul
Ilves
1 : 0 Lahti
20 Jul
Mariehamn
0 : 2 Lahti
11 Jul
Lahti
2 : 0 HJK
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Inter Turku
0 : 0 Lahti
26 Jul
Ilves
1 : 0 Lahti
20 Jul
Mariehamn
0 : 2 Lahti
27 Jun
AC Oulu
1 : 1 Lahti
17 Jun
Gnistan
1 : 0 Lahti
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
FC Germania Helsinki 2
Jokerit FC 4
Mando United 0
HIFK 16
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit / Lauttasaari 3
Toolon Taisto 4
Tuusulan Palloseura 0
JaPS 2
Stapa de Royale 2
Loiske Lempaala 1
HPS II 1
PK-35 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
Karhu-Futis 1
Leki 6
SalPa 2 0
VPS 11
TPS 2 1
MaPS 4
VaKP 0
Abo IFK 6
Toukolan Teras 0
Valtti 1
FC SUMU / SOB 2
EPS 3
FC Kangasala 1
EIF Academy 2
Lasten 0
Haka 3
VPV 0
SJK Akatemia 3
Santa Claus 1
OLS Oulu 9
Rollon Pojat 3
KaPa 1924 2
VIFK 4
KPV Kokkola 5
Kajaanin Haka 0
VPS 2 4
HAPK 1
SJK 6
NiemU 0
PEPO 1
Vaajakoski 0
JJK Jyvaskyla 1
Inter Turku -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LappBK 1
Lapuan Virkia Lapua 8
Heinapaan Hanhet 24 0
JS Hercules 10
MPS 0
EBK 7
POHU 3
Gnistan 0
VG-62 Naantali 1
Narpes Kraft 3
TPV 0
Tampere Utd 2
Kuopion Elo 0
Huima / Urho 10
Lahden Reipas 1
KuPS Akatemia 2
POHU/Hurjin 0
Atlantis 8
LePa 1
Honka 4
FC Futura 4
GrIFK 1
JaPS Akatemia 0
VJS 7
HauPa 2
GBK Kokkola 3
AC Oulu 1
Jaro 2
Ylivieska 2
JBK 1
FC Kiisto Vaasa 1
RoPS Rovaniemi 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
HJK -
VJS 2 4
LoPa 1
Keski-Uusimaa 2
KaPa 3
PoPo 2
PK-37 1
KoPa 0
MyPa 5
AC Estudiantes 0
PIF Pargas 4
TPV 2 0
Pallo-Iirot 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilves -
Fish United 0
SalPa 4
Ekenas IF 1
TPS 2
Gilla FC 2
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 5
Ylojarvi United 0
HJS 7
HPS 3
NJS 0
Kiffen 3 0
Mariehamn 5
Gnistan/M35 3
TiPS U21 2
Kiffen 1
PuiU Helsinki 2
KyPa 0
Union Plaani 4
KTP 1
Lahti 3
JIPPO II 0
JPS Jyvaskyla 2
Jippo 1
Mikkelin 2
1/32-finals
Jokerit FC 0
HIFK 5
Toolon Taisto 1
JaPS 9
Stapa de Royale 1
PK-35 8
TBD -
KuPS -
Leki 1
VPS 9
MaPS 0
Abo IFK 1
Valtti 0
EPS 2
EIF Academy 0
Haka 7
SJK Akatemia 2
OLS Oulu 1
Rollon Pojat 0
KPV Kokkola 4
VPS 2 1
SJK 6
PEPO 2
JJK Jyvaskyla 1
Inter Turku -
TBD -
Lapuan Virkia Lapua 1
JS Hercules 4
EBK 5
POHU 4
Narpes Kraft 0
Tampere Utd 6
Huima / Urho 0
KuPS Akatemia 4
Atlantis 3
Honka 4
FC Futura 2
VJS 3
GBK Kokkola 0
Jaro 2
Ylivieska 0
RoPS Rovaniemi 1
TBD -
HJK -
VJS 2 1
KaPa 3
PoPo 1
MyPa 4
PIF Pargas 0
Pallo-Iirot 2
TBD -
Ilves -
SalPa 1
TPS 2
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 0
HJS 1
HPS 1
Mariehamn 2
Gnistan/M35 1
PuiU Helsinki 2
Union Plaani 2
Lahti 4
JPS Jyvaskyla 3
Mikkelin 5
1/16-finals
HIFK 1
JaPS 3
PK-35 0
KuPS 2
VPS 7
Abo IFK 0
EPS 0
Haka 4
SJK Akatemia 2
KPV Kokkola 0
SJK 3
PEPO 0
Inter Turku 8
JS Hercules 0
EBK 3
Tampere Utd 2
KuPS Akatemia 0
Honka 1
VJS 5
Jaro 3
RoPS Rovaniemi 0
HJK 4
KaPa 1
MyPa 2
Pallo-Iirot 0
Ilves 4
TPS 3
HJS 0
Mariehamn 3
PuiU Helsinki 0
Lahti 3
Mikkelin 1
1/8-finals
JaPS 0
KuPS 1
VPS 4
Haka 0
SJK Akatemia 0
SJK 5
Inter Turku 2
EBK 1
Honka 5
VJS 1
HJK 11
MyPa 1
Ilves 1
TPS 0
Mariehamn 0
Lahti 1
Quarter-finals
KuPS 0
VPS 1
SJK 1
Inter Turku 2
Honka 1
HJK 7
Ilves 5
Lahti 2
Semi-finals
VPS 2
Inter Turku 3
HJK 2
Ilves 1
Final
Inter Turku -
HJK -
