Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Stjopin M.
4'
4'
Stjopin M.
Assist: Kanga J.
8'
8'
Wallius K.
Assist: Stjopin M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 5-2. The second leg ended 5-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ilves
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ilves carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Ilves a 46% chance of winning this.
- Ilves have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ilves, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ilves Clean Sheet 20%
Lahti Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ilves | Lahti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs Lahti
3:1
Jul 26, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs Lahti
1:0
Jun 10, 2026 Suomen Cup
Ilves vs Lahti
5:2
May 30, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Lahti vs Ilves
5:0
Jun 29, 2024 Veikkausliiga
Lahti vs Ilves
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ilves Compare
Top Goalscorer Stjopin M.
3 Goals Assists Leader Wallius K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Lahti Compare
Top Goalscorer Andersson E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ilves 85 / 100
Lahti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ilves Lahti
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ilves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ilves scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Lahti has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Ilves remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ilves VS Lahti
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ilves
(Home) 03 Oct
Ilves
3 : 0 Haka
19 Sept
TPS
0 : 3 Ilves
12 Sept
Ilves
3 : 1 Lahti
08 Sept
Ilves
2 : 0 Jaro
31 Aug
Ilves
1 : 2 HJK
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Ilves
3 : 0 Haka
12 Sept
Ilves
3 : 1 Lahti
08 Sept
Ilves
2 : 0 Jaro
31 Aug
Ilves
1 : 2 HJK
22 Aug
Ilves
0 : 1 VPS
Page 1 of 4
Lahti
(Away) 18 Sept
Lahti
1 : 1 Jaro
12 Sept
Ilves
3 : 1 Lahti
08 Sept
Lahti
2 : 1 Mariehamn
31 Aug
VPS
0 : 1 Lahti
21 Aug
SJK
1 : 2 Lahti
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Ilves
3 : 1 Lahti
31 Aug
VPS
0 : 1 Lahti
21 Aug
SJK
1 : 2 Lahti
09 Aug
Inter Turku
0 : 0 Lahti
26 Jul
Ilves
1 : 0 Lahti
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
FC Germania Helsinki 2
Jokerit FC 4
Mando United 0
HIFK 16
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit / Lauttasaari 3
Toolon Taisto 4
Tuusulan Palloseura 0
JaPS 2
Stapa de Royale 2
Loiske Lempaala 1
HPS II 1
PK-35 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
Karhu-Futis 1
Leki 6
SalPa 2 0
VPS 11
TPS 2 1
MaPS 4
VaKP 0
Abo IFK 6
Toukolan Teras 0
Valtti 1
FC SUMU / SOB 2
EPS 3
FC Kangasala 1
EIF Academy 2
Lasten 0
Haka 3
VPV 0
SJK Akatemia 3
Santa Claus 1
OLS Oulu 9
Rollon Pojat 3
KaPa 1924 2
VIFK 4
KPV Kokkola 5
Kajaanin Haka 0
VPS 2 4
HAPK 1
SJK 6
NiemU 0
PEPO 1
Vaajakoski 0
JJK Jyvaskyla 1
Inter Turku -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LappBK 1
Lapuan Virkia Lapua 8
Heinapaan Hanhet 24 0
JS Hercules 10
MPS 0
EBK 7
POHU 3
Gnistan 0
VG-62 Naantali 1
Narpes Kraft 3
TPV 0
Tampere Utd 2
Kuopion Elo 0
Huima / Urho 10
Lahden Reipas 1
KuPS Akatemia 2
POHU/Hurjin 0
Atlantis 8
LePa 1
Honka 4
FC Futura 4
GrIFK 1
JaPS Akatemia 0
VJS 7
HauPa 2
GBK Kokkola 3
AC Oulu 1
Jaro 2
Ylivieska 2
JBK 1
FC Kiisto Vaasa 1
RoPS Rovaniemi 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
HJK -
VJS 2 4
LoPa 1
Keski-Uusimaa 2
KaPa 3
PoPo 2
PK-37 1
KoPa 0
MyPa 5
AC Estudiantes 0
PIF Pargas 4
TPV 2 0
Pallo-Iirot 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilves -
Fish United 0
SalPa 4
Ekenas IF 1
TPS 2
Gilla FC 2
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 5
Ylojarvi United 0
HJS 7
HPS 3
NJS 0
Kiffen 3 0
Mariehamn 5
Gnistan/M35 3
TiPS U21 2
Kiffen 1
PuiU Helsinki 2
KyPa 0
Union Plaani 4
KTP 1
Lahti 3
JIPPO II 0
JPS Jyvaskyla 2
Jippo 1
Mikkelin 2
1/32-finals
Jokerit FC 0
HIFK 5
Toolon Taisto 1
JaPS 9
Stapa de Royale 1
PK-35 8
TBD -
KuPS -
Leki 1
VPS 9
MaPS 0
Abo IFK 1
Valtti 0
EPS 2
EIF Academy 0
Haka 7
SJK Akatemia 2
OLS Oulu 1
Rollon Pojat 0
KPV Kokkola 4
VPS 2 1
SJK 6
PEPO 2
JJK Jyvaskyla 1
Inter Turku -
TBD -
Lapuan Virkia Lapua 1
JS Hercules 4
EBK 5
POHU 4
Narpes Kraft 0
Tampere Utd 6
Huima / Urho 0
KuPS Akatemia 4
Atlantis 3
Honka 4
FC Futura 2
VJS 3
GBK Kokkola 0
Jaro 2
Ylivieska 0
RoPS Rovaniemi 1
TBD -
HJK -
VJS 2 1
KaPa 3
PoPo 1
MyPa 4
PIF Pargas 0
Pallo-Iirot 2
TBD -
Ilves -
SalPa 1
TPS 2
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 0
HJS 1
HPS 1
Mariehamn 2
Gnistan/M35 1
PuiU Helsinki 2
Union Plaani 2
Lahti 4
JPS Jyvaskyla 3
Mikkelin 5
1/16-finals
HIFK 1
JaPS 3
PK-35 0
KuPS 2
VPS 7
Abo IFK 0
EPS 0
Haka 4
SJK Akatemia 2
KPV Kokkola 0
SJK 3
PEPO 0
Inter Turku 8
JS Hercules 0
EBK 3
Tampere Utd 2
KuPS Akatemia 0
Honka 1
VJS 5
Jaro 3
RoPS Rovaniemi 0
HJK 4
KaPa 1
MyPa 2
Pallo-Iirot 0
Ilves 4
TPS 3
HJS 0
Mariehamn 3
PuiU Helsinki 0
Lahti 3
Mikkelin 1
1/8-finals
JaPS 0
KuPS 1
VPS 4
Haka 0
SJK Akatemia 0
SJK 5
Inter Turku 2
EBK 1
Honka 5
VJS 1
HJK 11
MyPa 1
Ilves 1
TPS 0
Mariehamn 0
Lahti 1
Quarter-finals
KuPS 0
VPS 1
SJK 1
Inter Turku 2
Honka 1
HJK 7
Ilves 5
Lahti 2
Semi-finals
VPS 2
Inter Turku 3
HJK 2
Ilves 1
Final
Inter Turku 1
HJK 0
