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Ilves vs PS Kemi

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga 2018 Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Jorginho
26' Event
Fofana T.
(Penalty)
39'
Jorginho

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga 2018 game between Ilves and PS Kemi finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ilves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ilves
15%
Draws
51%
PS Kemi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PS Kemi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ilves come out ahead of PS Kemi on wins alone.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Ilves here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Ilves Clean Sheet 20%
PS Kemi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves PS Kemi
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 15 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.75 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2018 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs PS Kemi
4:0
Jul 22, 2018 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs PS Kemi
2:0
May 22, 2018 Veikkausliiga
PS Kemi vs Ilves
0:2
Oct 20, 2017 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs PS Kemi
1:0
Aug 9, 2017 Veikkausliiga
PS Kemi vs Ilves
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilves Compare

Top Goalscorer Noubissi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

PS Kemi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves 32 / 100
PS Kemi 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves PS Kemi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PS Kemi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: PS Kemi conceded in 81% of 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: PS Kemi registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilves VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilves

(Home)
31 Aug
Ilves
1 : 2
HJK
22 Aug
Ilves
0 : 1
VPS
17 Aug
Gnistan
3 : 2
Ilves
13 Aug
Ilves
1 : 1
Rijeka
09 Aug
Ilves
2 : 0
Mariehamn
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PS Kemi

(Away)
27 Oct
Lahti
1 : 2
PS Kemi
21 Oct
PS Kemi
2 : 0
Mariehamn
06 Oct
PS Kemi
0 : 2
Inter Turku
29 Sept
Ilves
4 : 0
PS Kemi
22 Sept
PS Kemi
0 : 2
VPS
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK 33 24 6 3 61:19 78
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 33 18 8 7 42:25 62
3 KuPS 33 17 7 9 56:37 58
4 Honka 33 15 13 5 51:33 58
5 Ilves 33 14 7 12 45:41 49
6 VPS 33 10 11 12 37:43 41
7 Inter Turku 33 10 10 13 37:44 40
8 Lahti 33 9 13 11 30:38 40
9 SJK 33 8 8 17 28:37 32
10 Mariehamn 33 8 7 18 37:59 31
11 TPS 33 7 8 18 37:55 29
12 PS Kemi 33 6 6 21 29:59 24
Relegation - Ykkonen 2018 (Promotion)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Champions League 2019/2020 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2019/2020 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2019/2020 (Qualification)