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Ilves W vs Aland United W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Vetter J.
25' Event
Vetter J.
65'
Sub
Hordijk C. In: Torronen A.
Out: Hordijk C.

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Liiga Women game between Ilves W and Aland United W finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aland United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ilves W
15%
Draws
51%
Aland United W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aland United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aland United W come out ahead of Ilves W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • Aland United W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ilves W Clean Sheet 10%
Aland United W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves W Aland United W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 18
Draws 2 1
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.97 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs Aland United W
2:3
Aug 8, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs Ilves W
3:0
Jul 4, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs Aland United W
0:2
Jun 17, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
Aland United W vs Ilves W
2:1
May 3, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs Ilves W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilves W Compare

Top Goalscorer Luotonen A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahonen H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Aland United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vetter J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Torronen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves W 30 / 100
Aland United W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves W Aland United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves W found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Aland United W has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: Aland United W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilves W VS Aland United W
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilves W

(Home)
03 Oct
Ilves W
3 : 3
KuPS W
26 Sept
Gnistan W
0 : 3
Ilves W
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
12 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 5
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
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Aland United W

(Away)
03 Oct
Aland United W
3 : 1
Gnistan W
26 Sept
HPS W
1 : 0
Aland United W
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
HJK W
2 : 1
Aland United W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 22 18 1 3 62:21 55
2 Aland United W 22 14 1 7 56:30 43
3 KuPS W 22 13 3 6 43:29 42
4 HPS W 22 12 5 5 34:25 41
5 Ilves W 22 8 2 12 39:45 26
6 Gnistan W 22 5 1 16 29:56 16
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)