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Ilves W vs Gnistan W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Tammelan Stadion
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ilves W host Gnistan W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. This has Ilves W written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Ilves W at 1.75 goals for, 1.75 against; Gnistan W at 1 for, 2.5 against. Head-to-head, Ilves W have won 1 to Gnistan W's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.38) point toward Ilves W. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Ilves W
28%
Draws
22%
Gnistan W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ilves W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ilves W lately — more wins on the board than Gnistan W.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Ilves W taking it.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ilves W Clean Sheet 17%
Gnistan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves W Gnistan W
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 17 5
Draws 1 0
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs Ilves W
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves W 48 / 100
Gnistan W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves W Gnistan W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ILV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves W's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Gnistan W conceded in 73% of 15 recent games.

Away concern: Gnistan W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ilves W VS Gnistan W
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1HJK W12110134:933
2KuPS W1281329:1825
3HPS W1273218:924
4Aland United W1271432:1722
5Ilves W1260623:2318
6Gnistan W1240819:2912
7PK-35 Vantaa W12201012:336
8VIFK Vaasa W1201116:351