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Ilves W vs HPS W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
Ilves W Logo

Ilves W

1 - 0
FT
HPS W Logo

HPS W

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Sinivuori F. In: Xiang Q.
Out: Sinivuori F.
57'
Sub
Reis O. In: Perttula T.
Out: Reis O.
57'
Sub
Kamppi P. In: Welling E.
Out: Kamppi P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ilves W in this Kansallinen Liiga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ilves W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ilves W
20%
Draws
57%
HPS W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: HPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ilves W haven't matched HPS W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives HPS W a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ilves W Clean Sheet 10%
HPS W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves W HPS W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 19
Draws 2 5
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.97 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Ilves W
1:0
Jul 25, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Ilves W
1:2
May 22, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs HPS W
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Ilves W
1:0
Jun 9, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs HPS W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves W 22 / 100
HPS W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves W HPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HPS W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ilves W scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: HPS W conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ilves W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilves W VS HPS W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilves W

(Home)
03 Oct
Ilves W
3 : 3
KuPS W
26 Sept
Gnistan W
0 : 3
Ilves W
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
12 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 5
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
Page 1 of 6

HPS W

(Away)
04 Oct
HJK W
2 : 3
HPS W
26 Sept
HPS W
1 : 0
Aland United W
19 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 0
HPS W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
06 Sept
HPS W
1 : 3
HJK W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 0 1 40:9 39
2 Aland United W 14 9 1 4 41:19 28
3 KuPS W 14 9 1 4 31:21 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 19:15 24
5 Ilves W 14 7 1 6 27:26 22
6 Gnistan W 14 4 1 9 21:32 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 13:36 7
8 VIFK Vaasa W 14 0 2 12 8:42 2
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)