Sport Picks
Imabari vs Montedio Yamagata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J2 League Arigato Service Dream, Imabari 
Match Events
19'
19'
Ito G.
22'
22'
Sub
Komai Y. In: Tachikawa K.
Out: Komai Y.
45'
45'
Junio E.
AI Match Summary
The J2 League game between Imabari and Montedio Yamagata finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montedio Yamagata.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Imabari
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Montedio Yamagata come out ahead of Imabari on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Montedio Yamagata have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Imabari Clean Sheet 14%
Montedio Yamagata Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Imabari | Montedio Yamagata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 19 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.82 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 J2 League
Imabari vs Montedio Yamagata
0:3
Nov 9, 2025 J2 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Imabari
2:1
Mar 30, 2025 J2 League
Imabari vs Montedio Yamagata
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Imabari Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Montedio Yamagata Compare
Top Goalscorer Takahashi J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Disaro A. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Imabari 35 / 100
Montedio Yamagata 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Imabari Montedio Yamagata
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Montedio Yamagata Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.
Imabari scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Montedio Yamagata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Montedio Yamagata lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Imabari VS Montedio Yamagata
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Imabari
(Home) 03 Oct
Tochigi City
1 : 2 Imabari
26 Sept
Imabari
1 : 2 Shonan Bellmare
23 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 0 Imabari
19 Sept
Yokohama FC
2 : 1 Imabari
12 Sept
Imabari
1 : 0 Sagan Tosu
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Imabari
1 : 2 Shonan Bellmare
12 Sept
Imabari
1 : 0 Sagan Tosu
29 Aug
Imabari
0 : 3 Montedio Yamagata
26 Aug
Imabari
4 : 1 Blaublitz
15 Aug
Imabari
2 : 3 Omiya Ardija
Page 1 of 3
Montedio Yamagata
(Away) 03 Oct
Oita Trinita
2 : 1 Montedio Yamagata
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
26 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
2 : 0 Sagan Tosu
19 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
0 : 2 Toyama
13 Sept
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0 Montedio Yamagata
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Oita Trinita
2 : 1 Montedio Yamagata
13 Sept
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0 Montedio Yamagata
09 Sept
Tochigi SC
0 : 1 Montedio Yamagata
29 Aug
Imabari
0 : 3 Montedio Yamagata
15 Aug
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 0 Montedio Yamagata
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13:13 | 19 |
| 3 | Toyama | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 17:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Fujieda MYFC | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Blaublitz | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Tokushima | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Montedio Yamagata | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 11 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 12 | Oita Trinita | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:7 | 11 |
| 13 | Tochigi City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Iwata | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 15 | Vanraure | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5:14 | 10 |
| 16 | Iwaki | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Sagan Tosu | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 18 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:18 | 8 |
| 19 | Imabari | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 7 |
| 20 | Kofu | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:17 | 7 |
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Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)
