Sport Picks
Imabari vs Omiya Ardija Prediction & H2H Stats
Japan
J2 League Asics Satoyama Stadium, Imabari 
Match Events
6'
6'
Mori K.
12'
12'
Caprini Pinto M.
Assist: Izumi T.
27'
27'
de Souza Junior C. A.
Assist: Kato H.
AI Match Summary
Omiya Ardija in this J2 League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Omiya Ardija.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Omiya Ardija lately — more wins on the board than Imabari.
- Win probability leans Omiya Ardija's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Imabari Clean Sheet 13%
Omiya Ardija Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Imabari | Omiya Ardija |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 1 | 6 |
| Losses | 20 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 J2 League
Imabari vs Omiya Ardija
2:3
Sep 20, 2025 J2 League
Omiya Ardija vs Imabari
2:3
Apr 20, 2025 J2 League
Imabari vs Omiya Ardija
0:0
Oct 19, 2024 J3 League
Omiya Ardija vs Imabari
1:1
Apr 27, 2024 J3 League
Imabari vs Omiya Ardija
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Imabari Compare
Top Goalscorer Mori K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mochii K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Omiya Ardija Compare
Top Goalscorer Caprini Pinto M.
1 Goals Assists Leader de Souza Junior C. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Imabari 14 / 100
Omiya Ardija 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Imabari Omiya Ardija
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Omiya Ardija Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Imabari found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Omiya Ardija has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Imabari remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Imabari VS Omiya Ardija
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Imabari
(Home) 03 Oct
Tochigi City
1 : 2 Imabari
26 Sept
Imabari
1 : 2 Shonan Bellmare
23 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 0 Imabari
19 Sept
Yokohama FC
2 : 1 Imabari
12 Sept
Imabari
1 : 0 Sagan Tosu
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Imabari
1 : 2 Shonan Bellmare
12 Sept
Imabari
1 : 0 Sagan Tosu
29 Aug
Imabari
0 : 3 Montedio Yamagata
26 Aug
Imabari
4 : 1 Blaublitz
15 Aug
Imabari
2 : 3 Omiya Ardija
Page 1 of 3
Omiya Ardija
(Away) 04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
26 Sept
Omiya Ardija
5 : 1 Kofu
19 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
12 Sept
Omiya Ardija
0 : 0 Oita Trinita
06 Sept
Blaublitz
0 : 0 Omiya Ardija
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
19 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
06 Sept
Blaublitz
0 : 0 Omiya Ardija
02 Sept
Gainare Tottori
3 : 1 Omiya Ardija
22 Aug
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 4 Omiya Ardija
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13:13 | 19 |
| 3 | Toyama | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 17:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Fujieda MYFC | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Blaublitz | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Tokushima | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Montedio Yamagata | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 11 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 12 | Oita Trinita | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:7 | 11 |
| 13 | Tochigi City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Iwata | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 15 | Vanraure | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5:14 | 10 |
| 16 | Iwaki | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Sagan Tosu | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 18 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:18 | 8 |
| 19 | Imabari | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 7 |
| 20 | Kofu | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:17 | 7 |
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)
