Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Imbabura vs 22 de Julio

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2025 Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Pantoja L.
56'
Pluas W.
65' Event
Jimenez K.

AI Match Summary

Imbabura in this Serie B 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Imbabura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Imbabura
6%
Draws
4%
22 de Julio
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Imbabura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Imbabura lately — more wins on the board than 22 de Julio.
  • Win probability leans Imbabura's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie B 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Imbabura Clean Sheet 20%
22 de Julio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imbabura 22 de Julio
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 3 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Imbabura
2:2
Sep 27, 2025 Serie B
Imbabura vs 22 de Julio
1:1
Aug 10, 2025 Serie B
Imbabura vs 22 de Julio
2:0
May 28, 2025 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Imbabura
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imbabura Compare

Top Goalscorer Pantoja L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jimenez K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

22 de Julio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imbabura 85 / 100
22 de Julio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imbabura 22 de Julio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IMB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Imbabura scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

22 de Julio has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Imbabura stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Imbabura VS 22 de Julio
3 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leones del Norte22117426:1440
2Guayaquil City22107531:1637
3Gualaceo2298528:2735
4Nueve de Octubre2296720:1533
5Independiente Juniors2296722:2133
6San Antonio2295820:1932
7Atletico Vinotinto2294937:2631
822 de Julio2277820:3128
9Vargas Torres22511626:2226
10Cumbaya22751019:2826
11Imbabura22461223:3018
12Chacaritas22381121:4417