Sport Picks
Imolese vs Castelvetro
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 Stadio Romeo Galli, Imola 
AI Match Summary
Imolese in this Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Imolese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castelvetro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Imolese have won more games recently than Castelvetro.
- Imolese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Imolese have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Imolese Clean Sheet 16%
Castelvetro Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Imolese | Castelvetro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.72 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 8, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Castelvetro
4:1
Nov 19, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Castelvetro vs Imolese
0:2
Apr 30, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Castelvetro vs Imolese
3:1
Dec 11, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Castelvetro
5:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Imolese 84 / 100
Castelvetro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Imolese Castelvetro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Imolese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Castelvetro conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.
Castelvetro lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Imolese found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (37 games).
Scoring Trends
Imolese VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Imolese
(Home) 10 May
Imolese
0 : 2 Sasso Marconi
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1 Imolese
19 Apr
Imolese
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
12 Apr
Tropical Coriano
2 : 0 Imolese
Page 1 of 8
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2 Sasso Marconi
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
19 Apr
Imolese
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
02 Apr
Imolese
2 : 0 Cittadella Vis Modena
21 Mar
Imolese
2 : 0 Crema
Page 1 of 4
Castelvetro
(Away) 21 Jul
Modena
9 : 0 Castelvetro
20 May
Castelvetro
0 : 2 Mezzolara
06 May
Romagna Centro
2 : 0 Castelvetro
29 Apr
Castelvetro
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
22 Apr
Mezzolara
1 : 3 Castelvetro
Page 1 of 7
21 Jul
Modena
9 : 0 Castelvetro
06 May
Romagna Centro
2 : 0 Castelvetro
22 Apr
Mezzolara
1 : 3 Castelvetro
08 Apr
Imolese
4 : 1 Castelvetro
25 Mar
Lentigione
1 : 0 Castelvetro
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rimini | 38 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 65:38 | 80 |
| 2 | Imolese | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72:45 | 71 |
| 3 | Forli FC | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 60:43 | 65 |
| 4 | Fiorenzuola | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 50:32 | 64 |
| 5 | Sangiovannese | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42:38 | 61 |
| 6 | Lentigione | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 45:33 | 60 |
| 7 | Villabiagio | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 52:49 | 59 |
| 8 | Pianese | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 54:35 | 58 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 42:40 | 56 |
| 10 | Romagna Centro | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 49:42 | 54 |
| 11 | Sammaurese | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 34:29 | 54 |
| 12 | Sasso Marconi | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 35:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Vigor Carpaneto | 38 | 9 | 18 | 11 | 50:48 | 45 |
| 14 | Tuttocuoio | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 25:34 | 42 |
| 15 | Sporting Trestina | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 36:52 | 41 |
| 16 | Castelvetro | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 46:62 | 38 |
| 17 | Mezzolara | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 34:50 | 36 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 38 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 40:62 | 33 |
| 19 | Correggese | 38 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 37:55 | 32 |
| 20 | Colligiana | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 27:60 | 29 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
