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Imolese vs Corticella

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Manara N.
31' Event
Manara N.
54' Event
Raffini S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Imolese
20%
Draws
40%
Corticella
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Very High Confidence
  • Corticella have won more games recently than Imolese.
  • Win probability leans Imolese's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Imolese Clean Sheet 16%
Corticella Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imolese Corticella
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Corticella
2:2
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Corticella vs Imolese
2:3
Apr 7, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Corticella vs Imolese
2:1
Nov 26, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Corticella
0:1
Nov 15, 2023 Coppa Italia Serie D
Corticella vs Imolese
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imolese Compare

Top Goalscorer Raffini S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manes A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Corticella Compare

Top Goalscorer Manara N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imolese 84 / 100
Corticella 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imolese Corticella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IMO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corticella's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Corticella registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Imolese's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Imolese VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Imolese

(Home)
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2
Sasso Marconi
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1
Imolese
19 Apr
Imolese
0 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
12 Apr
Tropical Coriano
2 : 0
Imolese
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Corticella

(Away)
18 May
Corticella
0 : 2
Sammaurese
11 May
Corticella
4 : 1
Sasso Marconi
27 Apr
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Corticella
17 Apr
Corticella
0 : 3
Prato
13 Apr
Tuttocuoio
1 : 1
Corticella
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Forli FC 34 27 3 4 75:24 84
2 Ravenna 34 23 5 6 65:27 74
3 Lentigione 34 18 11 5 48:27 65
4 Tau 34 18 9 7 54:27 63
5 Pistoiese 34 18 7 9 45:23 61
6 Imolese 34 14 11 9 52:44 53
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 13 8 13 48:40 47
8 Piacenza 34 10 12 12 38:40 42
9 Prato 34 11 9 14 34:38 42
10 Tuttocuoio 34 10 12 12 32:43 42
11 SCD Progresso 34 10 11 13 24:32 41
12 San Marino Calcio 34 10 8 16 38:51 38
13 Sasso Marconi 34 9 10 15 39:51 37
14 Corticella 34 10 6 18 37:65 36
15 Sammaurese 34 7 10 17 27:37 31
16 Fiorenzuola 34 7 5 22 21:46 26
17 Zenith Prato 34 10 8 16 36:51 23
18 United Riccione 34 5 7 22 22:69 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Out)