Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Imolese vs Mezzolara Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Garavini M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 game between Imolese and Mezzolara finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Imolese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Imolese
35%
Draws
39%
Mezzolara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mezzolara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Mezzolara haven't matched Imolese's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Imolese taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Imolese Clean Sheet 20%
Mezzolara Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imolese Mezzolara
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 3
Draws 6 11
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.87 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.12 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Mezzolara
1:0
Sep 10, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Imolese
1:0
Feb 17, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Imolese
1:2
Oct 14, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Mezzolara
0:0
Feb 5, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Imolese
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imolese Compare

Top Goalscorer Garavini M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.86
Avg xA / game 0.56

Mezzolara Compare

Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imolese 42 / 100
Mezzolara 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imolese Mezzolara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mezzolara let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Imolese's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Imolese has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Imolese VS Mezzolara
1.38 Goals Scored 0.57
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.86
88% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Imolese

(Home)
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2
Sasso Marconi
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1
Imolese
19 Apr
Imolese
0 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
12 Apr
Tropical Coriano
2 : 0
Imolese
Page 1 of 7

Mezzolara

(Away)
04 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1
Mezzolara
27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Grassina
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1
Mezzolara
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1
Ternana
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Mezzolara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carpi 32 21 5 6 66:31 68
2 Ravenna 32 19 9 4 56:13 66
3 Corticella 32 18 3 11 59:40 57
4 Victor San Marino 32 17 6 9 44:37 57
5 Lentigione 32 16 8 8 49:31 56
6 Forli FC 32 16 7 9 48:35 55
7 Prato 32 12 8 12 37:41 44
8 Sangiuliano City 32 12 8 12 32:37 44
9 Fanfulla 32 11 10 11 28:35 43
10 Sant'Angelo 32 11 8 13 47:44 41
11 Aglianese Calcio 32 11 8 13 32:39 41
12 Imolese 32 12 6 14 31:33 40
13 Sammaurese 32 11 4 17 37:48 37
14 SCD Progresso 32 11 4 17 27:43 37
15 San Donnino 32 5 10 17 32:58 25
16 Certaldo 32 6 6 20 22:55 24
17 Mezzolara 32 5 6 21 23:50 21
18 Pistoiese 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 (Play Offs)