Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Barnaba T.
31'
31'
Pirazzoli T.
80'
80'
Elefante S.
AI Match Summary
Sasso Marconi in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sasso Marconi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sasso Marconi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Sasso Marconi at 1.07 per game, Imolese at 0.87.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Imolese Clean Sheet 20%
Sasso Marconi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Imolese | Sasso Marconi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Sasso Marconi
0:2
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Imolese
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Sasso Marconi
1:3
Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Sasso Marconi
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Imolese
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Imolese Compare
Top Goalscorer Barnaba T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Sasso Marconi Compare
Top Goalscorer Pirazzoli T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Marra N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Imolese 32 / 100
Sasso Marconi 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Imolese Sasso Marconi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sasso Marconi let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: Imolese scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Imolese remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Imolese VS Sasso Marconi
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Imolese
(Home) 10 May
Imolese
0 : 2 Sasso Marconi
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1 Imolese
19 Apr
Imolese
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
12 Apr
Tropical Coriano
2 : 0 Imolese
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2 Sasso Marconi
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
19 Apr
Imolese
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
02 Apr
Imolese
2 : 0 Cittadella Vis Modena
21 Mar
Imolese
2 : 0 Crema
Page 1 of 3
Sasso Marconi
(Away) 20 Sept
Sasso Marconi
0 : 1 Prato
16 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 2 Sasso Marconi
13 Sept
Sasso Marconi
1 : 3 San Donato Tavarnelle
06 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 2 Sasso Marconi
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2 Sasso Marconi
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 2 Sasso Marconi
06 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 2 Sasso Marconi
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2 Sasso Marconi
03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1 Sasso Marconi
12 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 0 Sasso Marconi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)
