Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Imortal vs Lagoa

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
90'

AI Match Summary

Imortal in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Imortal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Imortal
30%
Draws
29%
Lagoa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Imortal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lagoa lately — more wins on the board than Imortal.
  • Win probability leans Imortal's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Imortal Clean Sheet 18%
Lagoa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imortal Lagoa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.87 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.55 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Imortal vs Lagoa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imortal 58 / 100
Lagoa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imortal Lagoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Imortal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Imortal scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Lagoa has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Imortal stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Imortal VS Lagoa
1.6 Goals Scored 1.13
1.6 Goals Conceded 1.5
80% Over 1.5 88%
40% Over 2.5 75%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Imortal

(Home)
19 Sept
Imortal
1 : 5
Tondela
13 Sept
GD Alcochetense
1 : 1
Imortal
06 Sept
Imortal
0 : 2
Sintrense
23 Aug
Imortal
1 : 0
Lagoa
16 Aug
Imortal
5 : 0
1º Dezembro
Page 1 of 6

Lagoa

(Away)
19 Sept
Atletico CP
4 : 1
Lagoa
13 Sept
Lagoa
0 : 0
Serpa
06 Sept
Santa Clara B
1 : 2
Lagoa
23 Aug
Imortal
1 : 0
Lagoa
16 Aug
Aljustrelense
1 : 1
Lagoa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sintrense 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
2 Imortal 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Serpa 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
4 Lagoa 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
5 Juv. Evora 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
6 Real SC 2 1 1 0 6:5 4
7 Amora 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
8 Portel 4 0 4 0 6:6 4
9 Vitoria Setubal 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
10 GD Alcochetense 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
11 Aljustrelense 3 0 2 1 2:6 2
12 1º Dezembro 3 0 2 1 2:7 2
13 Lajense 2 0 1 1 5:6 1
14 Santa Clara B 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)