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Imortal vs Portel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Imortal host Portel in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group D. This one's hard to separate. Imortal have averaged 0.83 scored and 1.69 conceded recently, against Portel's 1.56 scored and 1.56 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.69) point toward Portel. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Imortal
35%
Draws
30%
Portel
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Imortal have won more games recently than Portel.
  • 30% — that's where the model lands on Portel taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Imortal Clean Sheet 13%
Portel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imortal Portel
Matches Played 29 9
Wins 4 1
Draws 7 4
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 0.83 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imortal 19 / 100
Portel 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imortal Portel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portel has conceded goals in 89% of their last 9 outings.

Imortal went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Imortal scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Portel has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Imortal VS Portel
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Imortal

(Home)
19 Sept
Imortal
1 : 5
Tondela
13 Sept
GD Alcochetense
1 : 1
Imortal
06 Sept
Imortal
0 : 2
Sintrense
23 Aug
Imortal
1 : 0
Lagoa
16 Aug
Imortal
5 : 0
1º Dezembro
Page 1 of 6

Portel

(Away)
20 Sept
Olhanense
1 : 0
Portel
13 Sept
Portel
1 : 1
Aljustrelense
06 Sept
Juv. Evora
1 : 1
Portel
30 Aug
Messejanense
0 : 8
Portel
23 Aug
GD Alcochetense
2 : 2
Portel
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sintrense 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
2 Imortal 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Amora 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
4 Serpa 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
5 Real SC 4 1 3 0 8:7 6
6 Juv. Evora 4 1 2 1 6:7 5
7 Lagoa 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
8 GD Alcochetense 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
9 Vitoria Setubal 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
10 Portel 4 0 4 0 6:6 4
11 Lajense 4 1 1 2 7:7 4
12 1º Dezembro 3 0 2 1 2:7 2
13 Aljustrelense 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
14 Santa Clara B 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)