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Imperatriz vs Maranhao

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Lucao
33'
Victor Guilherme
39'
Sub
Vivico In: Trucco M.
Out: Vivico

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Imperatriz
30%
Draws
39%
Maranhao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maranhao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Maranhao carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Maranhao arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Maranhao, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Imperatriz Clean Sheet 20%
Maranhao Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imperatriz Maranhao
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.93 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.89 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Imperatriz vs Maranhao
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Maranhense
Imperatriz vs Maranhao
0:1
Jul 12, 2025 Serie D
Imperatriz vs Maranhao
1:0
May 17, 2025 Maranhense
Maranhao vs Imperatriz
2:0
May 14, 2025 Maranhense
Imperatriz vs Maranhao
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imperatriz Compare

Top Goalscorer Doda
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.45

Maranhao Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imperatriz 32 / 100
Maranhao 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imperatriz Maranhao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Imperatriz scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Maranhao let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Imperatriz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Imperatriz VS Maranhao
1.14 Goals Scored 0.38
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.63
71% Over 1.5 25%
43% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Imperatriz

(Home)
12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0
Imperatriz
04 Jul
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Ferroviario
27 Jun
Maracana
0 : 1
Imperatriz
20 Jun
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Maracana
06 Jun
Imperatriz
4 : 0
Tuna Luso
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Maranhao

(Away)
29 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 1
Maranhao
23 Aug
Maranhao
4 : 1
Itabaiana
15 Aug
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Maranhao
09 Aug
Maranhao
2 : 1
Brusque
25 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 0
Maranhao
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