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Imperatriz vs Maranhao

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Lucao
33'
Victor Guilherme
39'
Sub
Vivico In: Trucco M.
Out: Vivico

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Imperatriz
22%
Draws
18%
Maranhao
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Imperatriz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Maranhao carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Imperatriz taking it.
  • Maranhao arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Maranhao, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Imperatriz Clean Sheet 68%
Maranhao Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imperatriz Maranhao
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Imperatriz vs Maranhao
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Maranhense
Imperatriz vs Maranhao
0:1
Jul 12, 2025 Serie D
Imperatriz vs Maranhao
1:0
May 17, 2025 Maranhense
Maranhao vs Imperatriz
2:0
May 14, 2025 Maranhense
Imperatriz vs Maranhao
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imperatriz Compare

Top Goalscorer Doda
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Maranhao Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imperatriz 68 / 100
Maranhao 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imperatriz Maranhao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IMP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Imperatriz scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Maranhao let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Imperatriz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Imperatriz VS Maranhao
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Imperatriz

(Home)
12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0
Imperatriz
04 Jul
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Ferroviario
27 Jun
Maracana
0 : 1
Imperatriz
20 Jun
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Maracana
06 Jun
Imperatriz
4 : 0
Tuna Luso
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Maranhao

(Away)
25 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 0
Maranhao
12 Jul
Maranhao
2 : 1
Ypiranga FC
04 Jul
Maranhao
0 : 1
Internacional de Limeira
28 Jun
Ituano
0 : 0
Maranhao
21 Jun
Maranhao
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
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