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Incheon vs Pyeongchang United

South Korea South Korea

Korean Cup 2025 Sungui Arena Park, Incheon
Wed, Apr 16, 2025
2 - 1
10:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Kim Seong-Min
48' Event
Lee Jae-Yong
96' Event
Kim Se-Hoon

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Incheon advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Incheon
30%
Draws
34%
Pyeongchang United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Incheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pyeongchang United come out ahead of Incheon on wins alone.
  • Model gives Incheon a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Pyeongchang United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Incheon, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Incheon Clean Sheet 20%
Pyeongchang United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Incheon Pyeongchang United
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 2
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2025 Korean Cup
Incheon vs Pyeongchang United
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Incheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Seong-Min
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kim Se-Hoon
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pyeongchang United Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Jae-Yong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Incheon 36 / 100
Pyeongchang United 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Incheon Pyeongchang United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pyeongchang United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Incheon found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Incheon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Incheon VS Pyeongchang United
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Incheon

(Home)
21 Jul
Ulsan Hyundai
1 : 2
Incheon
18 Jul
Incheon
1 : 0
Jeonbuk
12 Jul
Incheon
0 : 1
Anyang
05 Jul
Seoul
1 : 0
Incheon
16 May
Incheon
4 : 0
Gwangju FC
Page 1 of 6

Pyeongchang United

(Away)
15 Jul
Suwon FC
3 : 2
Pyeongchang United
11 Jul
Pyeongchang United
1 : 3
Geoje
04 Jul
Yangcheon TNT
1 : 2
Pyeongchang United
28 Jun
Sejong SA
1 : 3
Pyeongchang United
20 Jun
Namyangju
2 : 3
Pyeongchang United
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Yangsan Eogok1
Busan Kyotong2
TBD-
Busan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Suwon FC-
Gwangju FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gyeongju KHNP-
TBD-
Seoul Jungnang0
Paju Frontier3
Ulsan Hyundai-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gimhae Jaemics2
Chuncheon4
TBD-
Incheon-
Gyeongnam-
TBD-
Pyeongchang United2
Yangpyeong1
Hyochang0
Gijang United4
TBD-
Gimpo FC-
Cheonan City-
TBD-
Cheongsol0
Pocheon5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pohang-
Yeoju Citizen4
Mokpo3
TBD-
Bucheon FC 1995-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jeju SK-
Gimcheon Sangmu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Suwon Bluewings-
TBD-
TBD-
Seoul E-Land-
Incheon Seogot0
Daejeon Korail9
TBD-
Cheongju-
Changwon-
TBD-
Geonyung1
Namyangju5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Seoul-
Dangjin Citizen1
Gangneung2
TBD-
Chungnam Asan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Daejeon-
Jeonbuk-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ansan Greeners-
TBD-
Jeonbuk Jeonju0
Pyeongtaek Citizen6
Sejong SA3
Ulsan Citizen0
TBD-
Jeonnam-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Anyang-
Daegu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gimhae-
TBD-
Yangcheon TNT0
Geoje1
Gangwon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Siheung Citizen-
TBD-
TBD-
Seongnam-
Hwaseong-
TBD-
Jinju Citizen1
Yeoncheon0
1/32-finals
Busan Kyotong2
Busan1
TBD-
Suwon FC-
Gwangju FC-
TBD-
Gyeongju KHNP4
Paju Frontier1
Ulsan Hyundai-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chuncheon0
Incheon3
Gyeongnam0
Pyeongchang United3
Gijang United0
Gimpo FC4
Cheonan City1
Pocheon0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pohang-
Yeoju Citizen1
Bucheon FC 19953
TBD-
Jeju SK-
Gimcheon Sangmu-
TBD-
Suwon Bluewings2
Seoul E-Land1
Daejeon Korail1
Cheongju0
Changwon1
Namyangju2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Seoul-
Gangneung1
Chungnam Asan0
TBD-
Daejeon-
Jeonbuk-
TBD-
Ansan Greeners3
Pyeongtaek Citizen1
Sejong SA3
Jeonnam1
TBD-
Anyang-
Daegu-
TBD-
Gimhae5
Geoje1
Gangwon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Siheung Citizen3
Seongnam2
Hwaseong1
Jinju Citizen0
1/16-finals
Busan Kyotong1
Suwon FC2
Gwangju FC2
Gyeongju KHNP0
Ulsan Hyundai-
TBD-
Incheon2
Pyeongchang United1
Gimpo FC2
Cheonan City1
TBD-
Pohang-
Bucheon FC 19951
Jeju SK0
Gimcheon Sangmu2
Suwon Bluewings0
Daejeon Korail3
Namyangju0
TBD-
Seoul-
Gangneung1
Daejeon2
Jeonbuk3
Ansan Greeners0
Sejong SA0
Anyang1
Daegu2
Gimhae0
Gangwon-
TBD-
Siheung Citizen1
Hwaseong0
1/8-finals
Suwon FC1
Gwangju FC2
Ulsan Hyundai3
Incheon0
Gimpo FC2
Pohang1
Bucheon FC 19953
Gimcheon Sangmu1
Daejeon Korail1
Seoul2
Daejeon2
Jeonbuk3
Anyang1
Daegu2
Gangwon2
Siheung Citizen1
Quarter-finals
Gwangju FC1
Ulsan Hyundai0
Gimpo FC1
Bucheon FC 19953
Seoul0
Jeonbuk1
Daegu1
Gangwon2
Semi-finals
Gwangju FC4
Bucheon FC 19951
Jeonbuk3
Gangwon2
Final
Gwangju FC1
Jeonbuk2