Sport Picks

Mozambique

Mocambola 2018

Incomati Xinavane

1 - 1

1º de Maio de Quelimane

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2018 game between Incomati Xinavane and 1º de Maio de Quelimane finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Incomati Xinavane

40%

Draws

29%

1º de Maio de Quelimane

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Incomati Xinavane carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
Regular Mocambola 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%

Incomati Xinavane Clean Sheet 20%

1º de Maio de Quelimane Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Incomati Xinavane	1º de Maio de Quelimane
Matches Played	40	30
Wins	10	8
Draws	16	8
Losses	14	14
Goals Scored	0.25	0
Goals Conceded	1.38	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2018 Mocambola

Incomati Xinavane vs 1º de Maio de Quelimane

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 0 - 2

1:1

Jun 12, 2018 Mocambola

1º de Maio de Quelimane vs Incomati Xinavane

Possession: 59% - 50% Cards: 2 - 0

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Incomati Xinavane 32 / 100

1º de Maio de Quelimane 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Incomati Xinavane 1º de Maio de Quelimane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1º de Maio de Quelimane let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Incomati Xinavane has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Incomati Xinavane's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Incomati Xinavane VS -

0.25 Goals Scored 0

1.38 Goals Conceded 0

38% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Songo	30	17	7	6	38:26	58
2	Ferroviario Maputo	30	17	3	10	30:23	54
3	Liga Desportivo Maputo	30	15	6	9	37:25	51
4	Ferroviario Nampula	30	13	8	9	46:34	47
5	Maxaquene	30	11	11	8	34:28	44
6	Chibuto	30	11	10	9	39:24	43
7	Textafrica	30	11	9	10	26:34	42
8	Costa do Sol	30	9	13	8	24:17	40
9	Ferroviario Beira	30	10	9	11	37:28	39
10	Desportivo de Nacala	30	10	8	12	24:23	38
11	ENH Vilankulo	30	10	8	12	21:26	38
12	Incomati Xinavane	30	8	11	11	19:21	35
13	Ferroviario Nacala	30	8	11	11	18:26	35
14	UP de Manica	30	8	10	12	24:34	34
15	1º de Maio de Quelimane	30	8	8	14	24:36	32
16	Sporting Nampula	30	4	8	18	19:55	20