Sport Picks
Ind. Medellin vs Alianza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín 
AI Match Summary
Ind. Medellin host Alianza in the Primera A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Ind. Medellin at 1.43 goals for, 1.32 against; Alianza at 1.04 for, 1.41 against. Head-to-head, Ind. Medellin have won 2 to Alianza's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.50) point toward Ind. Medellin. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Ind. Medellin come out ahead of Alianza on wins alone.
- 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ind. Medellin | Alianza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ind. Medellin's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Alianza conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Ind. Medellin stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ind. Medellin
(Home)Alianza
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23:9 | 29 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 26:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 22:13 | 25 |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | 25 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 8 | Cucuta | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17:19 | 21 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19:17 | 20 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 20 |
| 11 | Aguilas Doradas | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:19 | 19 |
| 12 | Inter Bogotá | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Alianza | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:26 | 15 |
| 15 | Chico | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | 15 |
| 16 | Dep. Pereira | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10:18 | 13 |
| 17 | Junior | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 19:23 | 12 |
| 18 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15:21 | 11 |
| 19 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16:28 | 10 |
| 20 | Dep. Pasto | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9:22 | 9 |
