Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ind. Medellin vs Chico

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Escorcia L.
23' Event
Aedo A.
Own Goal
30'
Sub
Ruiz D. In: Saldana A.
Out: Ruiz D.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Ind. Medellin and Chico finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ind. Medellin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ind. Medellin
30%
Draws
34%
Chico
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ind. Medellin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ind. Medellin come out ahead of Chico on wins alone.
  • Ind. Medellin are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ind. Medellin Clean Sheet 19%
Chico Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ind. Medellin Chico
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 14 7
Draws 9 5
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs Chico
2:0
Jul 20, 2025 Primera A
Chico vs Ind. Medellin
2:0
Feb 2, 2025 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs Chico
3:0
Oct 26, 2024 Copa Colombia
Ind. Medellin vs Chico
4:0
Oct 22, 2024 Copa Colombia
Chico vs Ind. Medellin
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ind. Medellin Compare

Top Goalscorer Fydriszewski F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Chico Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ind. Medellin 36 / 100
Chico 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ind. Medellin Chico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ind. Medellin scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Chico let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Ind. Medellin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ind. Medellin VS Chico
1 Goals Scored 1.29
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.43
63% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Ind. Medellin

(Home)
25 Jul
Ind. Medellin
3 : 2
Dep. Pasto
22 Jul
Ind. Medellin
2 : 2
Vasco
02 Jun
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1
Cucuta
29 May
Leones
1 : 1
Ind. Medellin
27 May
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 0
Ind. Medellin
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Chico

(Away)
27 May
Chico
0 : 1
Llaneros
23 May
Millonarios
2 : 2
Chico
16 May
Chico
4 : 0
Atletico F.C.
07 May
Patriotas
0 : 0
Chico
02 May
Chico
3 : 0
Llaneros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional19131535:1540
2Junior19112631:2435
3Dep. Pasto19104529:2534
4America De Cali19103625:1533
5Once Caldas1989231:2233
6Deportes Tolima1987427:1731
7Santa Fe1978429:2229
8Inter Bogotá1977526:2628
9Dep. Cali1976620:1627
10Millonarios1975731:2326
11Ind. Medellin1975726:2426
12Aguilas Doradas1975720:2526
13Bucaramanga1958626:2023
14Llaneros19410517:2022
15Fortaleza C.E.I.F.1957722:2722
16Jaguares de Cordoba19531120:3318
17Alianza1938813:2717
18Chico19521215:3217
19Cucuta1937922:3516
20Dep. Pereira19171115:3210
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)