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Ind. Medellin vs Cucuta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Berdugo L.
31' Event
Catano D.
67' Event
Fabra F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ind. Medellin
30%
Draws
41%
Cucuta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cucuta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ind. Medellin come out ahead of Cucuta on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Ind. Medellin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cucuta, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ind. Medellin Clean Sheet 17%
Cucuta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ind. Medellin Cucuta
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 5 11
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.44 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs Cucuta
0:1
Jun 2, 2026 Copa Colombia
Ind. Medellin vs Cucuta
2:1
Feb 10, 2026 Primera A
Cucuta vs Ind. Medellin
1:3
Oct 5, 2023 Copa Colombia
Ind. Medellin vs Cucuta
1:3
Sep 28, 2023 Copa Colombia
Cucuta vs Ind. Medellin
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ind. Medellin Compare

Top Goalscorer Catano D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fabra F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Cucuta Compare

Top Goalscorer Berdugo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ind. Medellin 36 / 100
Cucuta 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ind. Medellin Cucuta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cucuta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ind. Medellin scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Cucuta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ind. Medellin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ind. Medellin VS Cucuta
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ind. Medellin

(Home)
06 Oct
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1
Santa Fe
30 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 2
Millonarios
27 Sept
Junior
2 : 0
Ind. Medellin
22 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1
Jaguares de Cordoba
18 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 2
Ind. Medellin
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Cucuta

(Away)
04 Oct
Cucuta
4 : 0
Dep. Pereira
26 Sept
Cucuta
2 : 1
Llaneros
19 Sept
Dep. Cali
3 : 0
Cucuta
14 Sept
Cucuta
1 : 2
Millonarios
05 Sept
Cucuta
2 : 2
Dep. Pasto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Cali 4 4 0 0 10:2 12
2 Alianza 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 Boca Juniors de Cali 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
4 Bucaramanga 4 1 0 3 8:7 3
5 Real Santander 4 0 0 4 1:13 0
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Millonarios 4 3 1 0 14:5 10
2 Llaneros 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
3 Chico 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
4 Patriotas 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
5 Atletico F.C. 4 0 1 3 2:16 1
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Medellin 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
3 Leones 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
4 Cucuta 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
5 Orsomarso 4 0 3 1 3:5 3
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Pereira 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
2 Real Cundinamarca 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
3 Aguilas Doradas 4 1 3 0 7:4 6
4 Jaguares de Cordoba 4 1 1 2 4:3 4
5 Independiente Valle del Cauca 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)