Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ind. Medellin vs Vasco

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
Ind. Medellin Logo

Ind. Medellin

2 - 2
FT
Vasco Logo

Vasco

Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Loboa H.
45' Event
Montano J.
Assist: Gonzalez Y.
46' Event
Varela J.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ind. Medellin
15%
Draws
39%
Vasco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ind. Medellin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ind. Medellin have won more games recently than Vasco.
  • Model gives Ind. Medellin a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Ind. Medellin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ind. Medellin Clean Sheet 20%
Vasco Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ind. Medellin Vasco
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.41 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Vasco vs Ind. Medellin
1:0
Jul 22, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Ind. Medellin vs Vasco
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ind. Medellin Compare

Top Goalscorer Montano J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Vasco Compare

Top Goalscorer Spinelli C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.94
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ind. Medellin 42 / 100
Vasco 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ind. Medellin Vasco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ind. Medellin scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Vasco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Ind. Medellin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ind. Medellin VS Vasco
1.14 Goals Scored 1.5
0.57 Goals Conceded 1.25
43% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ind. Medellin

(Home)
04 Sept
Dep. Pereira
0 : 3
Ind. Medellin
30 Aug
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1
Llaneros
23 Aug
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1
Cucuta
04 Aug
Deportes Tolima
2 : 3
Ind. Medellin
01 Aug
Ind. Medellin
1 : 0
Dep. Cali
Page 1 of 6

Vasco

(Away)
08 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 0
Vasco
06 Sept
Fluminense
1 : 0
Vasco
03 Sept
Vitoria
0 : 2
Vasco
30 Aug
Vasco
3 : 1
Cruzeiro
27 Aug
Vasco
1 : 0
Vitoria
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 2
River Plate 1
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Quarter-finals
Boca Juniors -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe -
Vasco -
Atletico-MG -
Santos -
Montevideo City -
Cienciano -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -