Sport Picks
Ind. Medellin W vs Atl. Nacional W
Colombia
Liga Women Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado 
Match Events
19'
19'
Castillo V.
Assist: Hurtado M.
35'
35'
Alvarez S.
45'
45'
Robayo L.
Assist: Ocampo L.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Women game between Ind. Medellin W and Atl. Nacional W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Nacional W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
28%
50%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Atl. Nacional W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Atl. Nacional W come out ahead of Ind. Medellin W on wins alone.
- Model gives Atl. Nacional W a 50% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Atl. Nacional W have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Ind. Medellin W Clean Sheet 19%
Atl. Nacional W Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ind. Medellin W | Atl. Nacional W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 36 |
| Wins | 13 | 22 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 24, 2026 Liga Women
Ind. Medellin W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:3
May 1, 2026 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Ind. Medellin W
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 Liga Women
Ind. Medellin W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:1
May 1, 2025 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Ind. Medellin W
2:0
Jul 3, 2024 Liga Women
Ind. Medellin W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ind. Medellin W Compare
Top Goalscorer Castillo V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Atl. Nacional W Compare
Top Goalscorer Robayo L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gonzalez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ind. Medellin W 24 / 100
Atl. Nacional W 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ind. Medellin W Atl. Nacional W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ind. Medellin W scored in 69% of their last 32 games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Atl. Nacional W conceded in 47% of 36 recent games.
Ind. Medellin W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ind. Medellin W VS Atl. Nacional W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ind. Medellin W
(Home) 04 Jun
Millonarios W
3 : 1 Ind. Medellin W
24 May
Ind. Medellin W
2 : 0 Orsomarso W
17 May
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 0 Ind. Medellin W
10 May
Ind. Medellin W
3 : 0 Bucaramanga W
01 May
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0 Ind. Medellin W
Page 1 of 7
24 May
Ind. Medellin W
2 : 0 Orsomarso W
10 May
Ind. Medellin W
3 : 0 Bucaramanga W
28 Apr
Ind. Medellin W
3 : 0 Once Caldas W
31 Mar
Ind. Medellin W
3 : 1 Dep. Pasto W
15 Mar
Ind. Medellin W
2 : 1 Llaneros W
Page 1 of 4
Atl. Nacional W
(Away) 29 May
Atl. Nacional W
2 : 0 Inter Bogotá W
24 May
Dep. Pasto W
1 : 3 Atl. Nacional W
16 May
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0 Once Caldas W
11 May
Inter Palmira W
0 : 1 Atl. Nacional W
01 May
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0 Ind. Medellin W
Page 1 of 8
24 May
Dep. Pasto W
1 : 3 Atl. Nacional W
11 May
Inter Palmira W
0 : 1 Atl. Nacional W
26 Apr
Orsomarso W
1 : 0 Atl. Nacional W
30 Mar
Junior W
1 : 2 Atl. Nacional W
16 Mar
America de Cali W
1 : 0 Atl. Nacional W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Cali W | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 30:6 | 35 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional W | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 25:5 | 33 |
| 3 | America de Cali W | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 22:7 | 29 |
| 4 | Millonarios W | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 28:7 | 28 |
| 5 | Indep. Santa Fe W | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 23:9 | 25 |
| 6 | Inter Bogotá W | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19:14 | 22 |
| 7 | Inter Palmira W | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 12:15 | 21 |
| 8 | Ind. Medellin W | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20:15 | 19 |
| 9 | Orsomarso W | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Fortaleza W | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9:18 | 13 |
| 11 | Llaneros W | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 12 | Junior W | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:21 | 11 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga W | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9:33 | 8 |
| 14 | Once Caldas W | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 15 | Real Santander W | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 3:19 | 7 |
| 16 | Dep. Pasto W | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8:24 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)