Sport Picks
Ind. Medellin W vs Atl. Nacional W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Liga Women Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado 
Match Events
19'
19'
Castillo V.
Assist: Hurtado M.
35'
35'
Alvarez S.
45'
45'
Robayo L.
Assist: Ocampo L.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Women game between Ind. Medellin W and Atl. Nacional W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Nacional W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Nacional W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Atl. Nacional W come out ahead of Ind. Medellin W on wins alone.
- Model gives Atl. Nacional W a 57% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Atl. Nacional W have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ind. Medellin W Clean Sheet 10%
Atl. Nacional W Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ind. Medellin W | Atl. Nacional W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 38 |
| Wins | 11 | 23 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.83 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 24, 2026 Liga Women
Ind. Medellin W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:3
May 1, 2026 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Ind. Medellin W
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 Liga Women
Ind. Medellin W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:1
May 1, 2025 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Ind. Medellin W
2:0
Jul 3, 2024 Liga Women
Ind. Medellin W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ind. Medellin W Compare
Top Goalscorer Castillo V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.64
Avg xA / game 0.41
Atl. Nacional W Compare
Top Goalscorer Robayo L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gonzalez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ind. Medellin W 18 / 100
Atl. Nacional W 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ind. Medellin W Atl. Nacional W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atl. Nacional W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ind. Medellin W scored in 66% of their last 32 games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Away concern: Atl. Nacional W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Atl. Nacional W let in goals in 58% of their last 38 matches.
Scoring Trends
Ind. Medellin W VS Atl. Nacional W
0.67 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1
83% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ind. Medellin W
(Home) 20 Aug
Ind. Medellin W
0 : 3 America de Cali W
31 Jul
Fortaleza W
1 : 0 Ind. Medellin W
24 Jul
Ind. Medellin W
1 : 3 Atl. Nacional W
04 Jun
Millonarios W
3 : 1 Ind. Medellin W
24 May
Ind. Medellin W
2 : 0 Orsomarso W
Page 1 of 7
20 Aug
Ind. Medellin W
0 : 3 America de Cali W
24 Jul
Ind. Medellin W
1 : 3 Atl. Nacional W
24 May
Ind. Medellin W
2 : 0 Orsomarso W
10 May
Ind. Medellin W
3 : 0 Bucaramanga W
28 Apr
Ind. Medellin W
3 : 0 Once Caldas W
Page 1 of 4
Atl. Nacional W
(Away) 20 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0 Atl. Nacional W
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2 Dep. Cali W
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
3 : 1 Inter Palmira W
09 Sept
Millonarios W
2 : 1 Atl. Nacional W
04 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0 Inter Bogotá W
Page 1 of 8
20 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0 Atl. Nacional W
09 Sept
Millonarios W
2 : 1 Atl. Nacional W
31 Aug
Inter Bogotá W
1 : 3 Atl. Nacional W
24 Aug
Inter Palmira W
3 : 2 Atl. Nacional W
08 Aug
Llaneros W
1 : 5 Atl. Nacional W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional W | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 34:9 | 39 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali W | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 33:10 | 38 |
| 3 | Millonarios W | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 32:8 | 35 |
| 4 | America de Cali W | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 29:8 | 35 |
| 5 | Inter Bogotá W | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:14 | 29 |
| 6 | Indep. Santa Fe W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 27:15 | 26 |
| 7 | Inter Palmira W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 15:17 | 26 |
| 8 | Orsomarso W | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 22 |
| 9 | Ind. Medellin W | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:22 | 19 |
| 10 | Fortaleza W | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Bucaramanga W | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 15:34 | 17 |
| 12 | Llaneros W | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11:33 | 13 |
| 13 | Junior W | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:24 | 12 |
| 14 | Real Santander W | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4:22 | 10 |
| 15 | Once Caldas W | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 7:25 | 8 |
| 16 | Dep. Pasto W | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12:28 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)
