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Ind. Rivadavia vs Fluminense

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Malvinas Argentinas, Mendoza
Tue, Aug 18, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Ind. Rivadavia at 1.73 goals for, 0.97 against; Fluminense at 1.32 for, 1.04 against. Past meetings favor Ind. Rivadavia slightly — 1-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 11, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.19) point toward Ind. Rivadavia. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ind. Rivadavia
35%
Draws
22%
Fluminense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ind. Rivadavia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ind. Rivadavia come out ahead of Fluminense on wins alone.
  • Ind. Rivadavia are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Ind. Rivadavia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Ind. Rivadavia Clean Sheet 68%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ind. Rivadavia Fluminense
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 10
Draws 7 12
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.73 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Fluminense vs Ind. Rivadavia
0:0
May 7, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Ind. Rivadavia vs Fluminense
1:1
Apr 16, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Fluminense vs Ind. Rivadavia
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ind. Rivadavia 59 / 100
Fluminense 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ind. Rivadavia Fluminense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ind. Rivadavia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ind. Rivadavia scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Fluminense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Solid form: Ind. Rivadavia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ind. Rivadavia VS Fluminense
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ind. Rivadavia

(Home)
11 Aug
Fluminense
0 : 0
Ind. Rivadavia
08 Aug
Ind. Rivadavia
2 : 1
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
03 Aug
Sarmiento Junin
2 : 1
Ind. Rivadavia
30 Jul
Ind. Rivadavia
2 : 1
Huracan
26 Jul
Atl. Tucuman
0 : 0
Ind. Rivadavia
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Fluminense

(Away)
11 Aug
Fluminense
0 : 0
Ind. Rivadavia
09 Aug
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1
Fluminense
06 Aug
Fluminense
1 : 3
Vasco
01 Aug
Vasco
0 : 0
Fluminense
30 Jul
Fluminense
0 : 0
Bahia
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 1
U. Catolica 1
Rosario Central -
Corinthians -
Deportes Tolima -
Independiente del Valle -
Cruzeiro 1
Flamengo RJ 1
Mirassol -
LDU Quito -
Palmeiras 1
Cerro Porteno 1
Platense 1
Coquimbo 1
Fluminense 0
Ind. Rivadavia 0
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -