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Ind. Rivadavia vs Fluminense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Malvinas Argentinas, Mendoza
Tue, Aug 18, 2026
1 - 2
10:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Pereira H.
25'
Studer S.
38'
Canobbio A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ind. Rivadavia
15%
Draws
48%
Fluminense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fluminense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ind. Rivadavia come out ahead of Fluminense on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Ind. Rivadavia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fluminense, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Ind. Rivadavia Clean Sheet 13%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ind. Rivadavia Fluminense
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 7 10
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.68 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Ind. Rivadavia vs Fluminense
1:2
Aug 11, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Fluminense vs Ind. Rivadavia
0:0
May 7, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Ind. Rivadavia vs Fluminense
1:1
Apr 16, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Fluminense vs Ind. Rivadavia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ind. Rivadavia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Fluminense Compare

Top Goalscorer Serna K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ind. Rivadavia 31 / 100
Fluminense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ind. Rivadavia Fluminense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ind. Rivadavia scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Fluminense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Ind. Rivadavia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ind. Rivadavia VS Fluminense
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ind. Rivadavia

(Home)
03 Oct
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 1
Gimnasia L.P.
21 Sept
Barracas Central
0 : 1
Ind. Rivadavia
16 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 2
Atl. Tucuman
12 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia
4 : 3
Aldosivi
06 Sept
River Plate
3 : 1
Ind. Rivadavia
Page 1 of 6

Fluminense

(Away)
09 Oct
Fluminense
4 : 0
Coritiba
20 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 3
Fluminense
15 Sept
Platense
2 : 1
Fluminense
12 Sept
Atletico-MG
3 : 1
Fluminense
08 Sept
Fluminense
2 : 0
Platense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 4
U. Catolica 1
Rosario Central 0
Corinthians 1
Deportes Tolima 1
Independiente del Valle 4
Cruzeiro 2
Flamengo RJ 3
Mirassol 1
LDU Quito 2
Palmeiras 2
Cerro Porteno 1
Platense 2
Coquimbo 1
Fluminense 2
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Quarter-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 2
Corinthians 1
Independiente del Valle 1
Flamengo RJ 3
LDU Quito 3
Palmeiras 4
Platense 2
Fluminense 3
Semi-finals
Estudiantes L.P. -
Flamengo RJ -
Palmeiras -
Fluminense -
Final
TBD -
TBD -