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Ind. Rivadavia vs Union de Santa Fe Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini, Mendoza
Ind. Rivadavia Logo

Ind. Rivadavia

1 - 2
FT
Union de Santa Fe Logo

Union de Santa Fe

Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Pitton M.
34' Event
Cuello B.
Assist: Palacios J.
49' Event
Tarragona C.
Assist: Del Blanco M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ind. Rivadavia
15%
Draws
42%
Union de Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ind. Rivadavia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ind. Rivadavia have won more games recently than Union de Santa Fe.
  • Ind. Rivadavia are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Ind. Rivadavia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Union de Santa Fe, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ind. Rivadavia Clean Sheet 16%
Union de Santa Fe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ind. Rivadavia Union de Santa Fe
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.77 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Liga Profesional
Ind. Rivadavia vs Union de Santa Fe
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Ind. Rivadavia
2:2
Mar 11, 2025 Liga Profesional
Ind. Rivadavia vs Union de Santa Fe
2:0
Jun 4, 2024 Liga Profesional
Ind. Rivadavia vs Union de Santa Fe
0:1
Feb 25, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Ind. Rivadavia
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ind. Rivadavia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sartori F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Union de Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuello B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tarragona C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ind. Rivadavia 36 / 100
Union de Santa Fe 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ind. Rivadavia Union de Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ind. Rivadavia found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Union de Santa Fe has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Ind. Rivadavia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ind. Rivadavia VS Union de Santa Fe
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ind. Rivadavia

(Home)
21 Sept
Barracas Central
0 : 1
Ind. Rivadavia
16 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 2
Atl. Tucuman
12 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia
4 : 3
Aldosivi
06 Sept
River Plate
3 : 1
Ind. Rivadavia
31 Aug
Ind. Rivadavia
3 : 1
Racing Club
Page 1 of 6

Union de Santa Fe

(Away)
19 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 2
Independiente
12 Sept
Talleres Cordoba
2 : 1
Union de Santa Fe
08 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
3 : 2
Instituto
28 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
4 : 1
Sarmiento Junin
21 Aug
Aldosivi
1 : 3
Union de Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Rosario Central 3
Independiente 1
Estudiantes L.P. 0
Racing Club 1
River Plate 3
San Lorenzo 2
Velez Sarsfield 0
Gimnasia L.P. 1
Talleres Cordoba 0
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 1
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
Argentinos Jrs 2
Lanus 0
Boca Juniors 2
Huracan 3
Quarter-finals
Rosario Central 2
Racing Club 1
River Plate 2
Gimnasia L.P. 0
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2
Union de Santa Fe 0
Argentinos Jrs 1
Huracan 0
Semi-finals
Rosario Central 0
River Plate 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2
Argentinos Jrs 1
Final
River Plate 2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3