Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ind. Rivadavia vs Union de Santa Fe

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini, Mendoza
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Pitton M.
34' Event
Cuello B.
Assist: Palacios J.
49' Event
Tarragona C.
Assist: Del Blanco M.

AI Match Summary

Union de Santa Fe in this Liga Profesional tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ind. Rivadavia
6%
Draws
4%
Union de Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ind. Rivadavia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ind. Rivadavia have won more games recently than Union de Santa Fe.
  • Ind. Rivadavia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Ind. Rivadavia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Union de Santa Fe, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Ind. Rivadavia Clean Sheet 68%
Union de Santa Fe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ind. Rivadavia Union de Santa Fe
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 19 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Liga Profesional
Ind. Rivadavia vs Union de Santa Fe
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Ind. Rivadavia
2:2
Mar 11, 2025 Liga Profesional
Ind. Rivadavia vs Union de Santa Fe
2:0
Jun 4, 2024 Liga Profesional
Ind. Rivadavia vs Union de Santa Fe
0:1
Feb 25, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Ind. Rivadavia
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ind. Rivadavia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sartori F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Union de Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuello B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tarragona C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ind. Rivadavia 95 / 100
Union de Santa Fe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ind. Rivadavia Union de Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ind. Rivadavia found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Union de Santa Fe has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Ind. Rivadavia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ind. Rivadavia VS Union de Santa Fe
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ind. Rivadavia

(Home)
12 Jul
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 0
Tigre
28 May
Bolivar
1 : 3
Ind. Rivadavia
21 May
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4
Ind. Rivadavia
10 May
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 2
Union de Santa Fe
07 May
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 1
Fluminense
Page 1 of 6

Union de Santa Fe

(Away)
22 May
Union de Santa Fe
0 : 2
Independiente
12 May
CA Belgrano de Cordoba
2 : 0
Union de Santa Fe
10 May
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 2
Union de Santa Fe
02 May
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 1
Talleres Cordoba
27 Apr
Velez Sarsfield
2 : 2
Union de Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Rosario Central3
Independiente1
Estudiantes L.P.0
Racing Club1
River Plate3
San Lorenzo2
Velez Sarsfield0
Gimnasia L.P.1
Talleres Cordoba0
CA Belgrano de Cordoba1
Ind. Rivadavia1
Union de Santa Fe2
Argentinos Jrs2
Lanus0
Boca Juniors2
Huracan3
Quarter-finals
Rosario Central2
Racing Club1
River Plate2
Gimnasia L.P.0
CA Belgrano de Cordoba2
Union de Santa Fe0
Argentinos Jrs1
Huracan0
Semi-finals
Rosario Central0
River Plate1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba2
Argentinos Jrs1
Final
River Plate2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba3