Sport Picks

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Ind. Yumbo vs Dep. Pereira

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio Municipal Raul Miranda
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ind. Yumbo play Dep. Pereira in the Copa Colombia. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ind. Yumbo averaged 0.79 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Dep. Pereira averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, Ind. Yumbo won 0, Dep. Pereira won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 7, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Ind. Yumbo and 1.13 for Dep. Pereira. This points to a Ind. Yumbo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ind. Yumbo
35%
Draws
26%
Dep. Pereira
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ind. Yumbo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Ind. Yumbo picked up more points recently compared to Dep. Pereira.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Ind. Yumbo Clean Sheet 21%
Dep. Pereira Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ind. Yumbo Dep. Pereira
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 4 4
Draws 8 10
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 0.79 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa Colombia
Ind. Yumbo vs Dep. Pereira
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ind. Yumbo Compare

Top Goalscorer Farias L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Dep. Pereira Compare

Top Goalscorer Acosta S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ind. Yumbo 39 / 100
Dep. Pereira 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ind. Yumbo Dep. Pereira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ind. Yumbo or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.9%
3.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ind. Yumbo attacking → ← attacking Dep. Pereira

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ind. Yumbo scored in 58% of their last 19 games.

Dep. Pereira let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ind. Yumbo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Dep. Pereira lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 22
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dep. Cali440010:212
2Alianza42116:37
3Boca Juniors de Cali42118:87
4Bucaramanga41038:73
5Real Santander40041:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Millonarios431014:510
2Llaneros43017:29
3Chico41216:35
4Patriotas40224:72
5Atletico F.C.40132:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ind. Medellin42205:38
2Fortaleza C.E.I.F.41215:35
3Leones41214:55
4Cucuta40312:33
5Orsomarso40313:53
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dep. Pereira42204:28
2Real Cundinamarca42116:47
3Aguilas Doradas41307:46
4Jaguares de Cordoba41124:34
5Ind. Yumbo40132:101