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Indeni vs Lumwana Radiants

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Tembo P.

AI Match Summary

Lumwana Radiants in this Super League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lumwana Radiants.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Indeni
15%
Draws
57%
Lumwana Radiants
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lumwana Radiants

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lumwana Radiants lately — more wins on the board than Indeni.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Super League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Indeni Clean Sheet 24%
Lumwana Radiants Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indeni Lumwana Radiants
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0.63 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Super League
Indeni vs Lumwana Radiants
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Super League
Lumwana Radiants vs Indeni
2:1
Jun 18, 2021 Super League
Indeni vs Lumwana Radiants
2:0
Feb 6, 2021 Super League
Lumwana Radiants vs Indeni
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indeni Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Lumwana Radiants Compare

Top Goalscorer Tembo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indeni 37 / 100
Lumwana Radiants 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indeni Lumwana Radiants

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lumwana Radiants Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lumwana Radiants let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Lumwana Radiants's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Indeni scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Indeni VS Lumwana Radiants
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Indeni

(Home)
17 May
Indeni
1 : 3
Forest Rangers
03 May
Indeni
0 : 2
Atletico Lusaka
19 Apr
Red Arrows
2 : 1
Indeni
09 Apr
Indeni
1 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
02 Apr
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 0
Indeni
Page 1 of 6

Lumwana Radiants

(Away)
17 May
Nkwazi
0 : 2
Lumwana Radiants
03 May
Lumwana Radiants
0 : 2
NAPSA Stars
21 Apr
Zesco
1 : 0
Lumwana Radiants
09 Apr
Lumwana Radiants
0 : 1
Mutondo Stars
02 Apr
Atletico Lusaka
1 : 2
Lumwana Radiants
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Power Dynamos 34 20 8 6 54:22 68
2 Zesco 34 17 12 5 34:20 63
3 Nkana 34 16 10 8 48:29 58
4 Red Arrows 34 15 11 8 32:24 56
5 Kabwe 34 13 12 9 38:27 51
6 Nkwazi 34 12 14 8 31:26 50
7 Green Buffaloes FC 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
8 Mufulira Wanderers 34 13 6 15 30:31 45
9 NAPSA Stars 34 9 17 8 24:22 44
10 Muza Fc 34 11 11 12 33:34 44
11 Nchanga Rangers 34 9 15 10 29:28 42
12 Green Eagles 34 9 14 11 32:34 41
13 Mutondo Stars 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
14 Zanaco 34 9 12 13 34:41 39
15 Atletico Lusaka 34 10 9 15 27:46 39
16 Forest Rangers 34 7 17 10 31:34 38
17 Lumwana Radiants 34 10 7 17 21:36 37
18 Indeni 34 3 6 25 20:55 15
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