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Indep. Santa Fe W vs Corinthians W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Indep. Santa Fe W at 1.56 goals for, 1.15 against; Corinthians W at 2.47 for, 0.78 against. Past meetings favor Corinthians W slightly — 0-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 8, 2025, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.31, favoring Corinthians W. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Indep. Santa Fe W
20%
Draws
47%
Corinthians W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Corinthians W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Corinthians W come out ahead of Indep. Santa Fe W on wins alone.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Corinthians W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Corinthians W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Corinthians W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 18%
Corinthians W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indep. Santa Fe W Corinthians W
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 11 23
Draws 8 3
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.56 2.47
Goals Conceded 1.15 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2025 Copa Libertadores Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Corinthians W
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 Copa Libertadores Women
Corinthians W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
2:0
Nov 21, 2021 Copa Libertadores Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Corinthians W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indep. Santa Fe W 32 / 100
Corinthians W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indep. Santa Fe W Corinthians W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corinthians W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indep. Santa Fe W scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Solid form: Indep. Santa Fe W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Corinthians W conceded in 53% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Indep. Santa Fe W VS Corinthians W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Indep. Santa Fe W

(Home)
26 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3
Dep. Cali W
20 Sept
Millonarios W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
18 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 2
Millonarios W
12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
Page 1 of 6

Corinthians W

(Away)
15 Oct
Corinthians W
2 : 0
Colo Colo W
03 Oct
Sao Paulo W
1 : 1
Corinthians W
26 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 2
Sao Paulo W
22 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Bahia W
16 Sept
Bahia W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Indep. Santa Fe W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Caracas W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Colo Colo W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras W 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Independiente del Valle W 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 CA Belgrano de Cordoba W 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Universitario de Deportes W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Olimpia Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 LDU Quito W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Bolivar W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional W W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 U. De Chile W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Dep. Cali W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Libertad Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)