Sport Picks

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Indep. Santa Fe W vs Fortaleza W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio El Campín, Bogotá
Sun, Aug 9, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Indep. Santa Fe W host Fortaleza W in the Liga Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Indep. Santa Fe W have averaged 1.38 scored and 0.5 conceded recently, against Fortaleza W's 0.5 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Indep. Santa Fe W have won 5 to Fortaleza W's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 20, 2025, ending 1:6. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 0.50) point toward Indep. Santa Fe W. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Indep. Santa Fe W
6%
Draws
4%
Fortaleza W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Indep. Santa Fe W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Indep. Santa Fe W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Indep. Santa Fe W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Indep. Santa Fe W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 20%
Fortaleza W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indep. Santa Fe W Fortaleza W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2025 Liga Women
Fortaleza W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
1:6
Mar 10, 2022 Liga Women
Fortaleza W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
0:1
Aug 12, 2021 Liga Women
Fortaleza W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
2:3
Jul 17, 2021 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Fortaleza W
2:0
Nov 12, 2020 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Fortaleza W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indep. Santa Fe W 85 / 100
Fortaleza W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indep. Santa Fe W Fortaleza W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Indep. Santa Fe W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Indep. Santa Fe W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Fortaleza W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Indep. Santa Fe W VS Fortaleza W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Indep. Santa Fe W

(Home)
28 May
Llaneros W
1 : 4
Indep. Santa Fe W
23 May
Inter Palmira W
0 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
17 May
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 0
Ind. Medellin W
11 May
Junior W
1 : 1
Indep. Santa Fe W
03 May
Indep. Santa Fe W
0 : 0
Millonarios W
Page 1 of 6

Fortaleza W

(Away)
29 May
Fortaleza W
2 : 1
Bucaramanga W
24 May
Junior W
0 : 0
Fortaleza W
15 May
Fortaleza W
0 : 3
Millonarios W
10 May
Dep. Pasto W
1 : 2
Fortaleza W
03 May
Fortaleza W
0 : 2
Inter Bogotá W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional W13110225:533
2Dep. Cali W13102129:632
3America de Cali W1392222:629
4Millonarios W1384128:728
5Indep. Santa Fe W1374223:925
6Inter Bogotá W1371519:1422
7Inter Palmira W1363412:1521
8Ind. Medellin W1361620:1519
9Orsomarso W1336413:1315
10Fortaleza W133469:1813
11Llaneros W133469:2113
12Junior W1325611:2111
13Bucaramanga W132299:338
14Once Caldas W131485:197
15Real Santander W130763:197
16Dep. Pasto W1303108:243
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)