Sport Picks
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Fortaleza W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Liga Women Estadio El Campín, Bogotá 
Match Events
1'
1'
Cabrera M.
Assist: Graterol F.
14'
14'
Puertas K.
Assist: Olivares L.
31'
31'
Baldallo M.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Women game between Indep. Santa Fe W and Fortaleza W finished 4-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fortaleza W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Indep. Santa Fe W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Indep. Santa Fe W a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Indep. Santa Fe W have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 17%
Fortaleza W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Indep. Santa Fe W | Fortaleza W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.09 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 20, 2026 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Fortaleza W
4:4
May 20, 2025 Liga Women
Fortaleza W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
1:6
Mar 10, 2022 Liga Women
Fortaleza W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
0:1
Aug 12, 2021 Liga Women
Fortaleza W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
2:3
Jul 17, 2021 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Fortaleza W
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Indep. Santa Fe W Compare
Top Goalscorer Cabrera M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Baldallo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Fortaleza W Compare
Top Goalscorer Puertas K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Santana D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.26
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Indep. Santa Fe W 41 / 100
Fortaleza W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Indep. Santa Fe W Fortaleza W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Indep. Santa Fe W's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Fortaleza W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Indep. Santa Fe W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Indep. Santa Fe W VS Fortaleza W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.4
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.2
63% Over 1.5 40%
50% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 20%
Recent Form & Match History
Indep. Santa Fe W
(Home) 26 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 2 Indep. Santa Fe W
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3 Dep. Cali W
20 Sept
Millonarios W
1 : 2 Indep. Santa Fe W
18 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 2 Millonarios W
12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2 Indep. Santa Fe W
Page 1 of 7
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3 Dep. Cali W
18 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 2 Millonarios W
09 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
0 : 0 Dep. Cali W
02 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
1 : 1 America de Cali W
25 Aug
Indep. Santa Fe W
3 : 0 Orsomarso W
Page 1 of 3
Fortaleza W
(Away) 20 Aug
Indep. Santa Fe W
4 : 4 Fortaleza W
31 Jul
Fortaleza W
1 : 0 Ind. Medellin W
27 Jul
Inter Bogotá W
1 : 0 Fortaleza W
29 May
Fortaleza W
2 : 1 Bucaramanga W
24 May
Junior W
0 : 0 Fortaleza W
Page 1 of 6
20 Aug
Indep. Santa Fe W
4 : 4 Fortaleza W
27 Jul
Inter Bogotá W
1 : 0 Fortaleza W
24 May
Junior W
0 : 0 Fortaleza W
10 May
Dep. Pasto W
1 : 2 Fortaleza W
23 Apr
Inter Palmira W
3 : 1 Fortaleza W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional W | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 34:9 | 39 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali W | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 33:10 | 38 |
| 3 | Millonarios W | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 32:8 | 35 |
| 4 | America de Cali W | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 29:8 | 35 |
| 5 | Inter Bogotá W | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:14 | 29 |
| 6 | Indep. Santa Fe W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 27:15 | 26 |
| 7 | Inter Palmira W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 15:17 | 26 |
| 8 | Orsomarso W | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 22 |
| 9 | Ind. Medellin W | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:22 | 19 |
| 10 | Fortaleza W | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Bucaramanga W | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 15:34 | 17 |
| 12 | Llaneros W | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11:33 | 13 |
| 13 | Junior W | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:24 | 12 |
| 14 | Real Santander W | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4:22 | 10 |
| 15 | Once Caldas W | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 7:25 | 8 |
| 16 | Dep. Pasto W | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12:28 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)
