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Indep. Santa Fe W vs Orsomarso W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2025 Estadio El Campín
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Zamorano M.
Assist: Reyes C.
23'
Marcano T.
37'
Carvajal M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Women 2025 game between Indep. Santa Fe W and Orsomarso W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Indep. Santa Fe W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Indep. Santa Fe W
17%
Draws
13%
Orsomarso W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Indep. Santa Fe W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Indep. Santa Fe W come out ahead of Orsomarso W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Indep. Santa Fe W a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 20%
Orsomarso W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indep. Santa Fe W Orsomarso W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 7 12
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Liga Women
Orsomarso W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 Liga Women
Orsomarso W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
0:0
Sep 1, 2025 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Orsomarso W
1:0
Apr 14, 2025 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Orsomarso W
1:0
May 9, 2022 Liga Women
Orsomarso W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indep. Santa Fe W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zamorano M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Orsomarso W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indep. Santa Fe W 67 / 100
Orsomarso W 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indep. Santa Fe W Orsomarso W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indep. Santa Fe W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Indep. Santa Fe W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).

Orsomarso W has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Indep. Santa Fe W VS Orsomarso W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Orsomarso W0
Indep. Santa Fe W1
Atl. Nacional W2
Dep. Cali W3
Final
Indep. Santa Fe W1
Dep. Cali W2