Sport Picks

Brazil

Serie D

Independencia Futebol Clube

0 - 2

Manauara

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Everson

90'

Falcao

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Manauara advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Independencia Futebol Clube

20%

Draws

38%

Manauara

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Independencia Futebol Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Manauara come out ahead of Independencia Futebol Clube on wins alone.
Independencia Futebol Clube are the model's pick here, at 42%.
Manauara arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Manauara, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Independencia Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 19%

Manauara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Independencia Futebol Clube	Manauara
Matches Played	31	32
Wins	9	15
Draws	7	11
Losses	15	6
Goals Scored	2	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.13	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Serie D

Manauara vs Independencia Futebol Clube

1:1

Jun 21, 2026 Serie D

Independencia Futebol Clube vs Manauara

0:2

Jul 27, 2025 Serie D

Independencia Futebol Clube vs Manauara

2:1

Apr 19, 2025 Serie D

Manauara vs Independencia Futebol Clube

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independencia Futebol Clube Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Manauara Compare

Top Goalscorer Everson

1 Goals

Assists Leader Falcao

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independencia Futebol Clube 42 / 100

Manauara 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Independencia Futebol Clube Manauara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Independencia Futebol Clube scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Independencia Futebol Clube stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Manauara has conceded goals in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Independencia Futebol Clube VS Manauara

2 Goals Scored 1.38

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63

88% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 25%

50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Independencia Futebol Clube

(Home)

28 Jun

Manauara

1 : 1

Independencia Futebol Clube

21 Jun

Independencia Futebol Clube

0 : 2

Manauara

14 Jun

Independencia Futebol Clube

2 : 2

Guapore

31 May

SC Humaita

0 : 4

Independencia Futebol Clube

24 May

Independencia Futebol Clube

3 : 1

Galvez

Page 1 of 7

Manauara

(Away)

12 Jul

Manauara

1 : 3

Goiatuba EC

04 Jul

Goiatuba EC

0 : 1

Manauara

28 Jun

Manauara

1 : 1

Independencia Futebol Clube

21 Jun

Independencia Futebol Clube

0 : 2

Manauara

14 Jun

Manauara

1 : 0

Sao Raimundo RR

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/32-finals

Independencia Futebol Clube1

Manauara3

Brasiliense0

Goiatuba EC1

Imperatriz2

Maracana1

Central SC1

Ferroviario3

Fluminense-PI0

America RN4

Sampaio Correa2

Trem3

Sao Raimundo RR2

Porto Velho3

Mixto1

Gama3

Monte Roraima3

Guapore4

Ceilandia2

Luverdense3

Parnahyba2

Aguia De Maraba3

AE Altos1

ABC2

Araguaina0

Nacional-AM (Manaus)1

Aparecidense1

Capital5

Tuna Luso2

Iguatu3

Maguary2

Piaui1

Portuguesa RJ4

Noroeste2

EC Sao Jose (PA)3

Santa Catarina2

Jacuipense1

Treze PB3

CRAC1

Tombense0

Serra Branca3

Juazeirense0

Rio Branco ES2

Uberlandia4

Sampaio Correa FE1

Portuguesa2

FC Cascavel3

Marcilio Dias4

Sao Luiz3

Blumenau2

Velo Clube2

Agua Santa1

Lagarto1

CSA3

Vitoria ES1

Betim FC2

America RJ1

Piracicaba3

Sao Joseense1

Cianorte2

ASA2

Sergipe1

Ivinhema4

Democrata GV2

1/16-finals

Manauara2

Goiatuba EC3

Imperatriz1

Ferroviario4

America RN6

Trem2

Porto Velho2

Gama3

Guapore0

Luverdense1

Aguia De Maraba2

ABC4

Nacional-AM (Manaus)2

Capital1

Iguatu5

Maguary3

Portuguesa RJ0

EC Sao Jose (PA)1

Treze PB3

CRAC2

Serra Branca2

Uberlandia3

Portuguesa3

Marcilio Dias1

Sao Luiz4

Velo Clube3

CSA4

Betim FC1

Piracicaba0

Cianorte4

ASA6

Ivinhema1

1/8-finals

Goiatuba EC3

Ferroviario0

America RN1

Gama0

Luverdense0

ABC0

Nacional-AM (Manaus)1

Iguatu1

EC Sao Jose (PA)2

Treze PB1

Uberlandia2

Portuguesa0

Sao Luiz0

CSA0

Cianorte0

ASA1

Quarter-finals

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-