Sport Picks
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Manauara Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Serie D 
Match Events
17'
17'
Everson
90'
90'
Falcao
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 0-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Manauara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Manauara come out ahead of Independencia Futebol Clube on wins alone.
- Independencia Futebol Clube are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Manauara arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Manauara, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Independencia Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 68%
Manauara Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independencia Futebol Clube | Manauara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 15 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 28, 2026 Serie D
Manauara vs Independencia Futebol Clube
1:1
Jun 21, 2026 Serie D
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Manauara
0:2
Jul 27, 2025 Serie D
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Manauara
2:1
Apr 19, 2025 Serie D
Manauara vs Independencia Futebol Clube
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Independencia Futebol Clube Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Manauara Compare
Top Goalscorer Everson
1 Goals Assists Leader Falcao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independencia Futebol Clube 50 / 100
Manauara 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independencia Futebol Clube Manauara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independencia Futebol Clube Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Independencia Futebol Clube scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Manauara let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.
Independencia Futebol Clube has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Independencia Futebol Clube VS Manauara
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Independencia Futebol Clube
(Home) 28 Jun
Manauara
1 : 1 Independencia Futebol Clube
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2 Manauara
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2 Guapore
31 May
SC Humaita
0 : 4 Independencia Futebol Clube
24 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
3 : 1 Galvez
Page 1 of 6
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2 Manauara
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2 Guapore
24 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
3 : 1 Galvez
17 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
1 : 0 Araguaina
02 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
1 : 1 Porto Velho
Page 1 of 4
Manauara
(Away) 12 Jul
Manauara
1 : 3 Goiatuba EC
04 Jul
Goiatuba EC
0 : 1 Manauara
28 Jun
Manauara
1 : 1 Independencia Futebol Clube
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2 Manauara
14 Jun
Manauara
1 : 0 Sao Raimundo RR
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Goiatuba EC
0 : 1 Manauara
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2 Manauara
31 May
Monte Roraima
0 : 1 Manauara
16 May
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 1 Manauara
04 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
1 : 2 Manauara
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3
