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Independencia Futebol Clube vs Placido de Castro

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Acreano 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Acreano 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Independencia Futebol Clube
6%
Draws
4%
Placido de Castro
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independencia Futebol Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Independencia Futebol Clube have won more games recently than Placido de Castro.
  • Model gives Independencia Futebol Clube a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Independencia Futebol Clube have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Independencia Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 20%
Placido de Castro Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independencia Futebol Clube Placido de Castro
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Acreano
Placido de Castro vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:3
Apr 10, 2023 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Placido de Castro
4:0
Feb 24, 2019 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Placido de Castro
1:1
May 3, 2012 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Placido de Castro
2:1
Apr 1, 2012 Acreano
Placido de Castro vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independencia Futebol Clube 85 / 100
Placido de Castro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independencia Futebol Clube Placido de Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Placido de Castro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Independencia Futebol Clube scored in 77% of their last 39 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Independencia Futebol Clube went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independencia Futebol Clube VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Independencia Futebol Clube

(Home)
28 Jun
Manauara
1 : 1
Independencia Futebol Clube
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Manauara
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2
Guapore
31 May
SC Humaita
0 : 4
Independencia Futebol Clube
24 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
3 : 1
Galvez
Page 1 of 8

Placido de Castro

(Away)
11 Sept
Atletico Acreano
7 : 0
Placido de Castro
04 Sept
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
3 : 0
Placido de Castro
26 Aug
Placido de Castro
0 : 8
Santa Cruz AC
21 Aug
Placido de Castro
1 : 0
Nauas EC
16 Aug
Placido de Castro
1 : 3
Andira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Acreano541012:013
2Independencia Futebol Clube531111:610
3Rio Branco AC530215:89
4SC Humaita52124:77
5Andira51226:105
Promotion - Campeonato Acreano 2019 (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galvez540113:412
2Placido de Castro51225:65
3Nauas EC51133:94
4Sao Francisco FC (AC)51045:173
5Vasco da Gama AC50235:122
Promotion - Campeonato Acreano 2019 (First stage - Play Offs)