Sport Picks
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Senador Guiomard
Brazil
Acreano 2025 
Match Events
72'
72'
Souza G.
90'
90'
Jojo
90'
90'
Japao L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Acreano 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independencia Futebol Clube
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Senador Guiomard haven't matched Independencia Futebol Clube's recent run of results.
- Independencia Futebol Clube are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Acreano 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Independencia Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 20%
Senador Guiomard Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independencia Futebol Clube | Senador Guiomard |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 41 | 33 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 2.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 2, 2026 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:2
Mar 22, 2025 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:1
Feb 15, 2025 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Senador Guiomard
1:1
Mar 10, 2024 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:0
Mar 7, 2023 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Independencia Futebol Clube Compare
Top Goalscorer Japao L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Senador Guiomard Compare
Top Goalscorer Souza G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independencia Futebol Clube 85 / 100
Senador Guiomard 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independencia Futebol Clube Senador Guiomard
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Independencia Futebol Clube scored in 73% of their last 41 games.
Defensive concern: Senador Guiomard conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Independencia Futebol Clube has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Independencia Futebol Clube VS Senador Guiomard
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Independencia Futebol Clube
(Home) 28 Jun
Manauara
1 : 1 Independencia Futebol Clube
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2 Manauara
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2 Guapore
31 May
SC Humaita
0 : 4 Independencia Futebol Clube
24 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
3 : 1 Galvez
Page 1 of 9
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2 Manauara
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2 Guapore
24 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
3 : 1 Galvez
17 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
1 : 0 Araguaina
02 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
1 : 1 Porto Velho
Page 1 of 4
Senador Guiomard
(Away) 07 Mar
Santa Cruz AC
3 : 2 Senador Guiomard
02 Mar
Senador Guiomard
0 : 2 Independencia Futebol Clube
11 Feb
Senador Guiomard
0 : 2 Rio Branco AC
05 Feb
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0 : 2 Senador Guiomard
31 Jan
Senador Guiomard
1 : 1 Galvez
Page 1 of 7
07 Mar
Santa Cruz AC
3 : 2 Senador Guiomard
05 Feb
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0 : 2 Senador Guiomard
26 Jan
Vasco da Gama AC
3 : 1 Senador Guiomard
15 Feb
Independencia Futebol Clube
1 : 1 Senador Guiomard
08 Feb
Rio Branco AC
0 : 1 Senador Guiomard
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vasco da Gama AC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Senador Guiomard | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 14 |
| 3 | Independencia Futebol Clube | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:4 | 12 |
| 4 | Galvez | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 11 |
| 5 | SC Humaita | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 6 | Rio Branco AC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13:16 | 7 |
| 7 | Sao Francisco FC (AC) | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3:16 | 3 |
| 8 | Placido de Castro | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8:22 | -1 |
Promotion - Acreano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Acreano 2 (Main)