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Independencia Futebol Clube vs Vasco da Gama AC

Brazil Brazil

Acreano 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
da Silva Azeredo Brandao M.
54' Event
da Silva Azeredo Brandao M.
56' Event
Lekinho

AI Match Summary

The Acreano 2025 game between Independencia Futebol Clube and Vasco da Gama AC finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasco da Gama AC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Independencia Futebol Clube
6%
Draws
4%
Vasco da Gama AC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independencia Futebol Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Independencia Futebol Clube haven't matched Vasco da Gama AC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Independencia Futebol Clube's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Acreano 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Independencia Futebol Clube have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Independencia Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 15%
Vasco da Gama AC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independencia Futebol Clube Vasco da Gama AC
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.88 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 Acreano
Vasco da Gama AC vs Independencia Futebol Clube
1:3
Jan 27, 2025 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Vasco da Gama AC
0:3
Apr 11, 2024 Acreano
Vasco da Gama AC vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:2
Feb 25, 2024 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Vasco da Gama AC
2:1
Mar 8, 2019 Acreano
Vasco da Gama AC vs Independencia Futebol Clube
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independencia Futebol Clube Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Vasco da Gama AC Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva Azeredo Brandao M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lekinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independencia Futebol Clube 84 / 100
Vasco da Gama AC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independencia Futebol Clube Vasco da Gama AC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco da Gama AC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Independencia Futebol Clube scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Recent resilience: Independencia Futebol Clube stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independencia Futebol Clube VS Vasco da Gama AC
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Independencia Futebol Clube

(Home)
28 Jun
Manauara
1 : 1
Independencia Futebol Clube
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Manauara
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2
Guapore
31 May
SC Humaita
0 : 4
Independencia Futebol Clube
24 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
3 : 1
Galvez
Page 1 of 7

Vasco da Gama AC

(Away)
05 Mar
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
2 : 2
Vasco da Gama AC
28 Feb
Galvez
5 : 2
Vasco da Gama AC
20 Feb
Vasco da Gama AC
1 : 2
Velo Clube
10 Feb
Vasco da Gama AC
1 : 3
Independencia Futebol Clube
04 Feb
SC Humaita
0 : 0
Vasco da Gama AC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vasco da Gama AC752013:517
2Senador Guiomard742113:814
3Independencia Futebol Clube733112:412
4Galvez732214:911
5SC Humaita724112:810
6Rio Branco AC721413:167
7Sao Francisco FC (AC)71063:163
8Placido de Castro70258:22-1
Promotion - Acreano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Acreano 2 (Main)