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Independente AP U20 vs Sao Luis MA U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U20
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Cesar P.
40'
Douglas Sousa Sousa W.
40'
Douglas Sousa Sousa W.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Independente AP U20
22%
Draws
23%
Sao Luis MA U20
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Independente AP U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Luis MA U20 haven't matched Independente AP U20's recent run of results.
  • Sao Luis MA U20 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Independente AP U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Independente AP U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54.6%
Independente AP U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Luis MA U20 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independente AP U20 Sao Luis MA U20
Matches Played 6 4
Wins 2 0
Draws 1 2
Losses 3 2
Goals Scored 0.5 0.25
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Copa do Brasil U20
Independente AP U20 vs Sao Luis MA U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independente AP U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cesar P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ronald Miranda Sena E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sao Luis MA U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independente AP U20 28 / 100
Sao Luis MA U20 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independente AP U20 Sao Luis MA U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Luis MA U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Luis MA U20 let in goals in 75% of their last 4 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Independente AP U20's goal record stands at 33% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Independente AP U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independente AP U20 VS Sao Luis MA U20
0.5 Goals Scored 0.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 0%
33% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Independente AP U20

(Home)
07 Oct
Paysandu PA U20
6 : 0
Independente AP U20
09 Sept
Independente AP U20
2 : 0
Sao Luis MA U20
13 Jan
Operario PR U20
4 : 0
Independente AP U20
10 Jan
CS Maruinense U20
0 : 1
Independente AP U20
07 Jan
Independente AP U20
0 : 2
Sao Paulo U20
Page 1 of 2

Sao Luis MA U20

(Away)
09 Sept
Independente AP U20
2 : 0
Sao Luis MA U20
10 Jan
Bragantino U20
2 : 0
Sao Luis MA U20
07 Jan
Sao Luis MA U20
1 : 1
Figueirense U20
04 Jan
Cosmopolitano Sports U20
0 : 0
Sao Luis MA U20

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Tuna Luso U20 3
Batalhao U20 0
Uniao Carmolandense U20 2
Miranda do Norte U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 13
Gremio Santo Antonio U20 1
Athletico-PR U20 5
Luverdense U20 2
Ceara U20 2
Atletico-PI U20 1
Ferroviario U20 1
EC de Patos U20 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Guanabara City U20 1
Goias U20 4
Trindade U20 2
CSA U20 4
Confianca PB U20 0
Santa Cruz U20 3
Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20 0
Sao Raimundo RR U20 7
Genus U20 3
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 1
Uniao Cacoalense U20 0
Amazonas U20 1
Monte Roraima U20 0
Galvez U20 0
Santa Cruz AC U20 5
Atletico-MG U20 4
Sobradinho U20 0
Athletic Club U20 2
Real Brasilia U20 1
Fortaleza U20 1
Piaui U20 2
America RN U20 3
QFC U20 2
Paysandu PA U20 5
Macapa U20 0
Independente AP U20 2
Sao Luis MA U20 0
Palmeiras U20 10
Naviraiense U20 0
Santos U20 2
Cuiaba U20 1
Botafogo RJ U20 4
Estrela De Marco U20 0
Bahia U20 16
Alagoinhas U20 0
Gremio U20 5
Real SC U20 0
Operario PR U20 3
Chapecoense-SC U20 2
Nautico U20 3
America PE U20 1
Sergipe U20 1
Falcon U20 0
Flamengo RJ U20 6
Forte U20 0
Vasco U20 11
Rio Branco ES U20 0
Internacional U20 0
Barra FC U20 1
Criciuma U20 3
FC Cascavel U20 1
1/16-finals
Tuna Luso U20 1
Uniao Carmolandense U20 2
Sao Paulo U20 3
Athletico-PR U20 1
Ceara U20 1
Ferroviario U20 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 1
Goias U20 2
CSA U20 0
Santa Cruz U20 1
Sao Raimundo RR U20 4
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 3
Amazonas U20 4
Santa Cruz AC U20 1
Atletico-MG U20 2
Athletic Club U20 1
Piaui U20 2
America RN U20 3
Paysandu PA U20 6
Independente AP U20 0
Palmeiras U20 4
Santos U20 3
Botafogo RJ U20 1
Bahia U20 0
Gremio U20 1
Operario PR U20 3
Nautico U20 6
Sergipe U20 2
Flamengo RJ U20 3
Vasco U20 2
Barra FC U20 0
Criciuma U20 3
1/8-finals
Uniao Carmolandense U20 -
Sao Paulo U20 -
Ceara U20 -
Goias U20 -
Santa Cruz U20 -
Sao Raimundo RR U20 -
Amazonas U20 -
Atletico-MG U20 -
America RN U20 -
Paysandu PA U20 -
Palmeiras U20 -
Botafogo RJ U20 -
Operario PR U20 -
Nautico U20 -
Flamengo RJ U20 -
Criciuma U20 -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -