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Independente AP vs Cristal AP

Brazil Brazil

Amapaense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Viana dos Santos T. V.
14' Event
Pablo Bueno
49' Event
Tony Love

AI Match Summary

The Amapaense 2025 game between Independente AP and Cristal AP finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Independente AP
30%
Draws
0%
Cristal AP
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Independente AP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Independente AP come out ahead of Cristal AP on wins alone.
  • Model gives Independente AP a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Amapaense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Independente AP Clean Sheet 20%
Cristal AP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independente AP Cristal AP
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 11 3
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.56 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Amapaense
Cristal AP vs Independente AP
0:3
Mar 29, 2025 Amapaense
Independente AP vs Cristal AP
2:2
May 28, 2011 Amapaense
Independente AP vs Cristal AP
0:1
Oct 10, 2009 Amapaense
Cristal AP vs Independente AP
4:0
Jun 7, 2008 Amapaense
Cristal AP vs Independente AP
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independente AP Compare

Top Goalscorer Pablo Bueno
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Macedo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Cristal AP Compare

Top Goalscorer Viana dos Santos T. V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tony Love
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independente AP 85 / 100
Cristal AP 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independente AP Cristal AP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independente AP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cristal AP conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Cristal AP's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Independente AP's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Independente AP VS Cristal AP
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Independente AP

(Home)
23 Mar
SAO Jose
2 : 2
Independente AP
20 Mar
Independente AP
2 : 2
SAO Jose
17 Mar
Independente AP
1 : 2
SAO Jose
13 Mar
Independente AP
1 : 1
Ypiranga AP
09 Mar
Macapa
1 : 3
Independente AP
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Cristal AP

(Away)
14 Mar
Oratorio
4 : 1
Cristal AP
10 Mar
Cristal AP
0 : 2
Ypiranga AP
02 Mar
Trem
3 : 1
Cristal AP
27 Feb
SAO Jose
2 : 1
Cristal AP
22 Feb
Cristal AP
1 : 2
Macapa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trem 7 5 1 1 16:5 16
2 Oratorio 7 5 1 1 11:5 16
3 Independente AP 7 4 2 1 11:5 14
4 Santos AP 7 3 0 4 9:9 9
5 Cristal AP 7 3 2 2 13:7 8
6 Ypiranga AP 7 2 2 3 8:7 8
7 Portuguesa AP 7 1 2 4 5:9 5
8 Santana EC 7 0 0 7 4:30 0
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