Sport Picks

Brazil

Amapaense 2024

Independente AP

3 - 0

Ypiranga AP

Our Tip

Match Events

44'

Fabinho

48'

Aldair

52'

Fabinho

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Independente AP in this Amapaense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independente AP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Independente AP

17%

Draws

13%

Ypiranga AP

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Independente AP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Ypiranga AP haven't matched Independente AP's recent run of results.
70% — that's where the model lands on Independente AP taking it.
Regular Amapaense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Independente AP Clean Sheet 20%

Ypiranga AP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Independente AP	Ypiranga AP
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	14	11
Draws	11	6
Losses	6	13
Goals Scored	1.63	1.5
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Amapaense

Independente AP vs Ypiranga AP

Possession: 54% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Apr 3, 2025 Amapaense

Ypiranga AP vs Independente AP

Possession: 45% - 56% Cards: 0 - 3

0:0

Feb 25, 2024 Amapaense

Independente AP vs Ypiranga AP

Possession: 54% - 42% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

May 15, 2023 Amapaense

Independente AP vs Ypiranga AP

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 3 - 3

3:1

May 31, 2022 Amapaense

Ypiranga AP vs Independente AP

Possession: 46% - 49% Cards: 2 - 0

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independente AP Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabinho

2 Goals

Assists Leader Aldair

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Ypiranga AP Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independente AP 67 / 100

Ypiranga AP 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Independente AP Ypiranga AP

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independente AP's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Ypiranga AP let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Independente AP remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Independente AP VS Ypiranga AP

1.63 Goals Scored 1.5

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independente AP	7	5	2	0	14:5	17
2	Trem	7	5	0	2	12:4	15
3	Santos AP	7	3	3	1	9:6	12
4	Oratorio	7	3	1	3	8:8	10
5	Ypiranga AP	7	3	1	3	6:6	10
6	Santana EC	7	2	2	3	12:14	8
7	Macapa	7	2	0	5	9:13	6
8	Sao Paulo AP	7	0	1	6	6:20	1