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Independente Atalaia U20 vs Coruripe U20

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Independente Atalaia U20 play Coruripe U20 in the Alagoano U20 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Independente Atalaia U20 averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Coruripe U20 averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Independente Atalaia U20 won 0, Coruripe U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 17, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Independente Atalaia U20 and 1.06 for Coruripe U20. This points to a Coruripe U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Independente Atalaia U20
15%
Draws
50%
Coruripe U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coruripe U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Independente Atalaia U20 picked up more points recently compared to Coruripe U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
Independente Atalaia U20 Clean Sheet 22%
Coruripe U20 Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independente Atalaia U20 Coruripe U20
Matches Played 14 14
Wins 6 7
Draws 1 2
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.36 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Alagoano U20
Independente Atalaia U20 vs Coruripe U20
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independente Atalaia U20 36 / 100
Coruripe U20 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independente Atalaia U20 Coruripe U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Coruripe U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Independente Atalaia U20 attacking → ← attacking Coruripe U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independente Atalaia U20 scored in 50% of their last 14 games.

Coruripe U20 let in goals in 57% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Independente Atalaia U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Coruripe U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 23
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CSA U20761030:519
2CRB U20751127:616
3Zumbi U20750217:415
4Desportiva Alianca U20731314:1710
5Guarany Alagoano U20722314:188
6Canoense U20721412:147
7SC Penedense U2071246:135
8Grota do Facao U2070073:460
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20632113:411
2ASA U20632113:611
3Guarani de Paripueira U20632110:411
4Jacioba U20624013:310
5Independente Atalaia U20621310:47
6Coruripe U2062135:117
7Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense U2000000:00
8Liga do Sertao U2060062:340