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Independente Atalaia U20 vs Guarani de Paripueira U20

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Alagoano U20 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Alagoano U20 2025 game between Independente Atalaia U20 and Guarani de Paripueira U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independente Atalaia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Independente Atalaia U20
6%
Draws
4%
Guarani de Paripueira U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independente Atalaia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarani de Paripueira U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Independente Atalaia U20 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Alagoano U20 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Independente Atalaia U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Guarani de Paripueira U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independente Atalaia U20 Guarani de Paripueira U20
Matches Played 14 19
Wins 6 8
Draws 1 4
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.43 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.57 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.57 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2025 Alagoano U20
Independente Atalaia U20 vs Guarani de Paripueira U20
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independente Atalaia U20 85 / 100
Guarani de Paripueira U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independente Atalaia U20 Guarani de Paripueira U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guarani de Paripueira U20 conceded in 74% of 19 recent games.

Solid form: Independente Atalaia U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Guarani de Paripueira U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Independente Atalaia U20 found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (14 games).

Scoring Trends

Independente Atalaia U20 VS Guarani de Paripueira U20
1.43 Goals Scored 1.5
0.57 Goals Conceded 0.75
29% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CSA U20761030:519
2CRB U20751127:616
3Zumbi U20750217:415
4Desportiva Alianca U20731314:1710
5Guarany Alagoano U20722314:188
6Canoense U20721412:147
7SC Penedense U2071246:135
8Grota do Facao U2070073:460
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20632113:411
2ASA U20632113:611
3Guarani de Paripueira U20632110:411
4Jacioba U20624013:310
5Independente Atalaia U20621310:47
6Coruripe U2062135:117
7Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense U2000000:00
8Liga do Sertao U2060062:340