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Independente SE vs Caninde

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2
Independente SE Logo

Independente SE

4 - 2
FT
Caninde Logo

Caninde

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Independente SE in this Sergipano 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independente SE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Independente SE
20%
Draws
51%
Caninde
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caninde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Caninde have won more games recently than Independente SE.
  • Caninde are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Independente SE Clean Sheet 10%
Caninde Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independente SE Caninde
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 5 10
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.09 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.95 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Sergipano 2
Independente SE vs Caninde
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independente SE 10 / 100
Caninde 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independente SE Caninde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caninde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Caninde let in goals in 73% of their last 22 matches.

Independente SE went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Independente SE scored in 59% of their last 22 outings.

Scoring Trends

Independente SE VS Caninde
0.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Independente SE

(Home)
01 Nov
Independente SE
4 : 2
Caninde
25 Oct
Independente SE
1 : 1
America de Pedrinhas
18 Oct
Atletico Gloriense
7 : 0
Independente SE
15 Oct
Independente SE
0 : 3
Frei Paulistano
10 Oct
Atletico Central
1 : 1
Independente SE
Page 1 of 5

Caninde

(Away)
01 Nov
Independente SE
4 : 2
Caninde
25 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Caninde
18 Oct
Caninde
1 : 7
Olimpico EC
15 Oct
Caninde
1 : 0
Flamengo SE
12 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
0 : 3
Caninde
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 9 8 1 0 26:3 25
2 Atletico Gloriense 9 7 1 1 22:2 22
3 Olimpico EC 9 7 1 1 22:5 22
4 Frei Paulistano 9 5 1 3 20:9 16
5 Caninde 9 4 1 4 14:20 13
6 America de Pedrinhas 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
7 Atletico Central 9 2 1 6 7:17 7
8 Flamengo SE 9 2 0 7 8:16 6
9 Independente SE 9 1 2 6 6:23 5
10 Boca Junior 9 1 0 8 4:28 0
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