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Independente SE vs Olimpico EC

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Sergipano 2
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AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 game between Independente SE and Olimpico EC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olimpico EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Independente SE
20%
Draws
56%
Olimpico EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olimpico EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Olimpico EC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Olimpico EC taking it.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Independente SE Clean Sheet 10%
Olimpico EC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independente SE Olimpico EC
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.09 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.95 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Sergipano 2
Independente SE vs Olimpico EC
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independente SE 10 / 100
Olimpico EC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independente SE Olimpico EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpico EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpico EC let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Independente SE went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Independente SE's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Independente SE VS Olimpico EC
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Independente SE

(Home)
01 Nov
Independente SE
4 : 2
Caninde
25 Oct
Independente SE
1 : 1
America de Pedrinhas
18 Oct
Atletico Gloriense
7 : 0
Independente SE
15 Oct
Independente SE
0 : 3
Frei Paulistano
10 Oct
Atletico Central
1 : 1
Independente SE
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Olimpico EC

(Away)
01 Nov
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Olimpico EC
25 Oct
Olimpico EC
4 : 1
Flamengo SE
18 Oct
Caninde
1 : 7
Olimpico EC
15 Oct
Olimpico EC
1 : 0
America de Pedrinhas
11 Oct
Atletico Gloriense
2 : 0
Olimpico EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 9 8 1 0 26:3 25
2 Atletico Gloriense 9 7 1 1 22:2 22
3 Olimpico EC 9 7 1 1 22:5 22
4 Frei Paulistano 9 5 1 3 20:9 16
5 Caninde 9 4 1 4 14:20 13
6 America de Pedrinhas 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
7 Atletico Central 9 2 1 6 7:17 7
8 Flamengo SE 9 2 0 7 8:16 6
9 Independente SE 9 1 2 6 6:23 5
10 Boca Junior 9 1 0 8 4:28 0
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